Bill Connelly thinks our inexperience will doom us in 2016 - Printable Version

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Bill Connelly thinks our inexperience will doom us in 2016 - washingtonismoney - 02-05-2016

http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2016/2/5/10921918/2016-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience-lsu-ohio-state-tennessee-stanford?utm_campaign=sbn_billc&utm_content=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

EDIT: Connelly projects our PPG margin will decrease about 4 points next year, which would put us at +11 or so -- basically similar to the 2012 and '14 teams. So around 8 wins, I'd guess.

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I liked him in Her Majesty, Mrs. Brown - Mick - 02-05-2016

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Re: Bill Connelly thinks our inexperience will doom us in 2016 - yvonne - 02-05-2016

(02-05-2016, 02:25 PM)washingtonismoney link Wrote:http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2016/2/5/10921918/2016-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience-lsu-ohio-state-tennessee-stanford?utm_campaign=sbn_billc&utm_content=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

EDIT: Connelly projects our PPG margin will decrease about 4 points next year, which would put us at +11 or so -- basically similar to the 2012 and '14 teams. So around 8 wins, I'd guess.

You'd have to compare the scores against each score from last year, together with his estimation of their projected change in PPG to get a handle on the likely number of wins he's projecting. However, inexperience is really a factor through about half the season only.

Also, the statistics have no way to factor in the quality and the impact of a player. I'm more sanguine about losses on defense than I am about losing an Outland trophy-winning blocker and the winningest quarterback in school history, for example.

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Re: Bill Connelly thinks our inexperience will doom us in 2016 - BostonCard - 02-05-2016

Then again, we are returning the guy who should have won the h-award.  That's a pretty good reason to be  sanguine.

BC

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