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Stanford @ UCLA predictions - Phogge - 09-18-2016

UCLA continues to be soft. SU 44 UCLA 17.

Re: Stanford-UCLA opening line: UCLA -1 - winflop - 09-19-2016

(09-18-2016, 07:55 PM)FarmBoy link Wrote:I suspect UCLA will give a better fight than SC.

That's not saying much.

I think teams that rely on throwing the ball are going to have a VERY tough time against this defense.  Kind of ironic given how staunch we have been against the run in recent history.  My score prediction is based on UCLA being able to move the ball between the 20s but not in the red zone = lots of FGs.  I don't see much of a defense and I'm optimistic that Burns will have two or three more opportunities over the top and hit more than one of them.

Kings of California once again.

Trees 37
Josephines 19

Re: Stanford-UCLA opening line: UCLA -1 - Hurlburt88 - 09-19-2016

31-27  Bruins fail to find a comfortable den among the trees as Rosen moves the ball decently but just not enough

Stanford @ UCLA predictions - BostonCard - 09-19-2016

I know that some people put predictions in the thread about the Vegas line, but for ease of use, let's consolidate them here.

I think it will be a tighter game than we have seen, and I have a bad feeling that we might not leave with a win.  But I still cannot bring myself to predict a loss so 20-17 Stanford.  UCLA ties it at 17 with a minute and change left, and Ukropina nails the game winner with about 15 seconds left.  Rosen gets them to our 40, but his Hail Marry is batted down in the end zone.

BC

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - Papa John - 09-19-2016

Stanford 27
SBUC (the school formerly known as the Southern Branch of the University of California) 13

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - 82lsju - 09-19-2016

24-13 good guys

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - Mick - 09-19-2016

Well, UCLA lost to Texas A&M at TA&M in OT and beat BYU 17-14.

UCLA should bring out all the stops against us.  I don't think they're going to try any field goals, I don't think they'll risk two pointers, and they don't have the defense for a safety.  I think they'll get behind us early and play catch up.  So I'm guessing UCLA gets 21.  Not quite good enough to get to 28 against the Stanford defense, even at home.

Stanford has beaten UCLA eight straight times.  We have budding stars on our offense.  I think Shaw will want to win, but will be extra-cautious because of the short week and Washington looming.  We've scored 26 and 27 at home.  Love will be healthier, offense has made lots of improvement, OL starting to look very good.  I'll say 27 points.  Three TDs, two field goals.

Final score:
Ben Bernanke 27
Ben Stiller 21

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - CrazedZooChimp - 09-19-2016

On one hand, I feel like UCLA should still be ranked (losing on the road to a team the AP currently has #10 should not punish you as much as they were punished (like, how are Ole Miss and OU ranked higher, with two losses each to top-15 teams by wider margins, and no wins of note at all). On the other hand, the bits of the UCLA games I've watched show me that they're still soft on the lines of scrimmage. Their offense is better than KSU or U$C, but I think we push them around.

We have to keep the foot down a little longer, but it's still a double digit win.

31-17, Stanford.

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - ColoradoTree - 09-19-2016

Stanford 31
UCLA 23

The score might indicate a replay of the SC game, but it's a much more dynamic game that feels much more in play throughout, largely because of Rosen making our defense pay much more than Browne did.  That said, you live by the Rosen, you die by the Rosen, and we get three picks, hampering Rosen's ability to bring the Bruins back.  Christian does his thing and gets another 200+ rushing/receiving yards (skewed more to the receiving side than usual given UCLA's solid DL play and commitment to stopping him), and I think this is the game where he breaks a couple of long kickoff returns, too.  Burns is able to handle the defensive pressure, relying a lot on Schultz/Taboada over the middle and McCaffrey in the flat for tough yards and third-down conversions.  We lead something like 17-6 at half, and we're all a little frustrated.  The fourth quarter is nerve-wracking, as our offense is pretty conservative to burn clock, while UCLA starts to close the gap (while the need to throw also leads Rosen into a couple of those INTs), but we answer when we need to. 

But stormtrooper white jerseys in the Rose Bowl?  I think our guys are more than OK with that. 

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - SeattleTree - 09-19-2016

The School the Rosen One Wanted to Attend 24
The School the Rosen One Ended Up Attending 20


Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - CTcard - 09-19-2016

Comments on two themes for UCLA.

1. UCLA is still soft as marshmallows on both lines.

Maybe.

On offense, UCLA is only averaging 131 yds rushing per game (9th in Pac 12), and 3.46 yds per carry (12th in Pac 12). Obviously, that isn't great. However, they have played two teams that appear to have pretty tough front sevens - Texas AM is #33 in yds per rushing attempt allowed (3.22) and BYU is #35 (3.27). UCLA didn't make that average against either.

On defense, UCLA is giving up 134 yds per game rushing (7th in Pac 12) and 3.97 per carry (7th). Texas A&M seems to be decent running the ball (237 yds/gm, 6.13 yds/carry - 6th nationally). UCLA has held every opponent to their lowest yds/carry of the season - and almost lowest yds/gm - including BYU by a ton. Particularly if Vanderdoes is healthy, UCLA may prove tougher on the defensive front.

2. Rosen throwing the ball all over the field will be a of exceedingly large proportions test.

Another maybe.

Rosen has been throwing the ball a lot. Rosen is tenth in the country in number of pass attempts. I watched him a bit vs. BYU. Like last year, when Rosen is good he is quite good. He made some impressive completions under pressure. However, he is inconsistent. In particular, he seems to lose a lot of accuracy when on the move.

Rosen's overall PER so far this season is 126.8, 9th in the Pac 12 (Browne is 11th, and no one from UA has played enough to qualify). That's not particularly good, though both BYU and Texas AM seem to have decent defenses and Rosen did better than anyone else has against these guys.

I think Rosen is good enough that with an on day, he could be serious trouble. I think there is also a significant chance he won't have an on day.

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - washingtonismoney - 09-19-2016

To extend your analysis, just visually from what I've seen, I'm:

1) UCLA o-line bad, d-line good. I expect a low-scoring game (well, a low-scoring defensive game).
2) Rosen is still very overrated. Not terribly worried about him or his wideouts. The RBs are good if they can get holes.

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - BostonCard - 09-19-2016

(09-19-2016, 01:29 PM)washingtonismoney link Wrote:To extend your analysis, just visually from what I've seen, I'm:

1) UCLA o-line bad, d-line good. I expect a low-scoring game (well, a low-scoring defensive game).
2) Rosen is still very overrated. Not terribly worried about him or his wideouts. The RBs are good if they can get holes. [my add: but, see #1, right?]



Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - Red State - 09-19-2016

SU 40-20

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - Treebound - 09-19-2016

Stanford 30
"U-G-L-Y eat my shorts" 20

Control the line of scrimmage and open up the playbook just a little bit more.

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - paloalto - 09-19-2016

UCLA 28  Stanford 17.  I hope I am wrong.  I think UCLA's quarterback is a little too full of himself so I am cheering doubly hard; a win for Stanford and a loss for UCLA.    U. S. C. had good success running through Stanford's defense at times in the first half. They just couldn't finish the drives.  I have doubts about Stanford's defense.  I also think UCLA is going to focus on Stanford's star player so some other player will have to take advantage.

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - CTcard - 09-19-2016

(09-19-2016, 06:48 PM)paloalto link Wrote:I also think UCLA is going to focus on Stanford's star player so some other player will have to take advantage.

What team we've played in the past 13 games hasn't focused on McCaffrey?

... not to be too tough. As far as I know your prediction is as good as any.

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - vataha - 09-19-2016

Jim Plunkett - 34
Gary Beban - 24

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - CompSci87 - 09-19-2016

I'll go with 50% of last year's score.

Stanford 28
Other guys 17

Re: Stanford @ UCLA predictions - washingtonismoney - 09-19-2016

I'll say 23-10. Some grumbling about the offense after the game.