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Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Printable Version

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Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - BostonCard - 08-18-2017

Hi everyone,

Since no one else has stepped up to do it, I guess I'll be putting together the annual prediction game again.  Enclosed is a link to the form for the Rice game.  For those of you who don't have access to google docs, you can pm me your prediction.

https://goo.gl/forms/V821sK4pxU7Bg4ve2

A few people have grumbled about the scoring system, and I am open to comments and/or suggestions.  The rules will need to be locked down by kickoff.  A reminder of the current rules:

Quote:* Error is calculated as the sum of the error between your predicted spread and the actual spread, and your predicted mean score and the actual mean score.  Thus, if you predict Stanford 32, Rice 12, and the actual score is Stanford 45, Rice 18, the error in spread is 7 (actual spread is 27, you predicted a 20 point spread) and the error in mean is 11.5 (you predicted a mean score of 20, the actual mean was 31.5).  Thus, the "total error" is 18.5.

* Everybody is ranked first by whether you predicted the correct winner or not and then by error.  This ensures that all the people who picked the right winner will get more points than all the people who picked the wrong winner, no matter how close they were to the actual score.

* The number of points you get for the week is equal to the number of people ranked equal or lower than you (including yourself).  Thus, scores will range from 1 to n, where n is the number of people who submitted a pick for the week.

These rules are open to discussion but will need to be finalized by kickoff.

Good luck everyone.

BC

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - 82lsju - 08-18-2017

good guys 38
other team 10

submitted in the form

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - SeattleTree - 08-18-2017

Trees 34
Owls 10

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Renaissance Man - 08-18-2017

Stanford 45
Rice  10

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - ColoradoTree - 08-18-2017

We're thinking similarly.  I went with Stanford 34, Rice 13.  We're much more than 3 touchdowns better, but we won't play like it.  I figure it'll be something like 24-6 at half, with our second half offense getting even more conservative, and Rice scoring a late TD against our third-string D.  We will learn next to nothing about how good we are, but it'll feel good to be back!

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - djones - 08-18-2017

45-0 Stanford victory

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - JJJ - 08-18-2017

Thanks for doing this, BC.

Where I went to school: 31
What I ate for dinner: 10



Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - BostonCard - 08-18-2017

(08-18-2017, 02:52 PM)JJJ link Wrote:Thanks for doing this, BC.

Where I went to school: 31
What I ate for dinner: 10

😂

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - CornFed - 08-18-2017

(08-18-2017, 02:52 PM)JJJ link Wrote:Thanks for doing this, BC.

Where I went to school: 31
What I ate for dinner: 10

What is the best way to prepare owl?  Deep-fried, I presume.

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - SamuelMcF - 08-18-2017

Leland: 38
Condi: 17

3 scores in garbage time, a FG for us and a TD+FG for them

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Snorlax94 - 08-18-2017

Wow, it's striking how many people have such similar estimates.

I put in Stanford 38-13.

I gave a little extra to Stanford relative to some people perhaps because, looking at Rice's schedule last year, most teams who beat them scored 40+, and apparently their defense is not an area of major hope for improvement. So even if Shaw goes super vanilla and lays off the gas, I think there are just going to be too many missed tackles, missed assignments, and outrun defenders this early in the season.

Even though I am super-excited about Stanford's defense this season, and normally I'd think they'd have the potential to play a shut out, Rice retrns all 5 offensive lineman this year, and some other offensive pieces. And the defensive front is where Stanford will be breaking in some new players, though I think Horrible Harry is gonna create some highlight tape. So I see them getting into the red zone a few times. I'm actually glad the defense will face an experienced, conpletely-returning o line this early, and I hope the defense gets some experience and some good notes to get ready for SC.

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Hurlburt88 - 08-19-2017

Robber Barons 34
Victimized 9

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - JohnR34231 - 08-19-2017

(08-18-2017, 01:47 PM)ColoradoTree link Wrote:We're thinking similarly.  I went with Stanford 34, Rice 13.  We're much more than 3 touchdowns better, but we won't play like it.  I figure it'll be something like 24-6 at half, with our second half offense getting even more conservative, and Rice scoring a late TD against our third-string D.  We will learn next to nothing about how good we are, but it'll feel good to be back!

Good summary; pretty much the way I feel about the game. When the younger guys (like Costello and maybe Wedington and St. Brown) get in I hope Shaw allows them to show what they can do rather than play so conservatively that we can't tell.

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Goose - 08-19-2017

(08-19-2017, 06:53 AM)JPRI link Wrote:Good summary; pretty much the way I feel about the game. When the younger guys (like Costello and maybe Wedington and St. Brown) get in I hope Shaw allows them to show what they can do rather than play so conservatively that we can't tell.
Unfortunately, I am pretty sure that if we are lucky enough to see Costello, it will be to hand the ball off. Wide receivers will get to block a lot. You don't throw long passes when you are up by 30, or even 20. Still, the experience will be valuable to the guys who get to play. Also, there may be some 3rd and longs that will allow a reason to pass. 8 in the box probably won't.

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Mick - 08-19-2017

Elon Musk 27
Howard Hughes 3

Thanks for taking care of this BC, I appreciate it very much.

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - JohnR34231 - 08-19-2017

(08-19-2017, 07:09 AM)Goose link Wrote:[quote author=JPRI link=topic=17180.msg197378#msg197378 date=1503150835]
Good summary; pretty much the way I feel about the game. When the younger guys (like Costello and maybe Wedington and St. Brown) get in I hope Shaw allows them to show what they can do rather than play so conservatively that we can't tell.
Unfortunately, I am pretty sure that if we are lucky enough to see Costello, it will be to hand the ball off. Wide receivers will get to block a lot. You don't throw long passes when you are up by 30, or even 20. Still, the experience will be valuable to the guys who get to play. Also, there may be some 3rd and longs that will allow a reason to pass. 8 in the box probably won't.
[/quote]

You're probably right, but hope springs eternal.

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Stymie - 08-20-2017

Higher of two results from random number generator (range 2 to 60) assigned to Stanford  25
Lower result from (2-60) random number generator assigned to Rice                                    4               



Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - Bampa - 08-20-2017

Prince Lightfoot's Boys      31

Nocturnal Aves                  10

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - washingtonismoney - 08-20-2017

I'm in Mexico, so can't see the game. I will predict STAN 43
RICE 16

Re: Stanford/Rice cardboard prediction game - standfan - 08-20-2017

Rice 6
Rice-a-Roni 38