QCOVID prediction algorithm - Printable Version
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QCOVID prediction algorithm - Mick - 10-21-2020
Supposedly predicted 3/4 of all COVID deaths in Britain based upon the top 5% at risk. Tested on 2.2 million patients from January through April 30.
https://sports.yahoo.com/tool-predicts-risk-covid-hospitalisation-233514648.html
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m3731
RE: QCOVID prediction algorithm - BostonCard - 10-21-2020
There’s apparently an online calculator here: https://qcovid.org/BMJ/ but I couldn’t get it to load.
BC
RE: QCOVID prediction algorithm - 82lsju - 10-22-2020
(10-21-2020, 09:39 PM)BostonCard Wrote: There’s apparently an online calculator here: https://qcovid.org/BMJ/ but I couldn’t get it to load.
BC
is this it?
https://qcovid.org/PatientInformation/PatientInformation
RE: QCOVID prediction algorithm - Mick - 10-22-2020
(10-21-2020, 09:39 PM)BostonCard Wrote: There’s apparently an online calculator here: https://qcovid.org/BMJ/ but I couldn’t get it to load.
BC
Loaded for me. My results:
COVID associated death
The absolute risk of a COVID-19 associated death is 1 in 1477.
This is in rank 86 out of 100, where 100 is most at risk.
RE: QCOVID prediction algorithm - BostonCard - 10-22-2020
Interesting that it doesn't ask about blood pressure, which is a risk factor, or blood type, as there is fairly solid evidence that people with type A blood are at increased risk, while those with type O blood are protected.
BC
RE: QCOVID prediction algorithm - CompSci87 - 10-22-2020
I get the following. I had to read the FAQ and track down supplementary box 2b of the article to be able to fill in everything they asked for.
The absolute risk of a COVID-19 associated death is 1 in 1091.
This is in rank 89 out of 100, where 100 is most at risk.
RE: QCOVID prediction algorithm - oldalum - 10-23-2020
(10-22-2020, 10:58 PM)BostonCard Wrote: Interesting that it doesn't ask about blood pressure, which is a risk factor, or blood type, as there is fairly solid evidence that people with type A blood are at increased risk, while those with type O blood are protected.
in the model derivation they included "treated hypertension" as a possible independent variable. I suspect they did not have blood type information in the GP records on a majority of people in the cohort.