Posts: 305
Threads: 13
Joined: Nov 2011
I think it's funny to see people suggest that Shaw should have gone for "7" (which implies that an extra point, albeit pretty meaningless in that scenario, is an absolute given, even though it's really just a 20 yard FG). Do we really believe that with all of the things that can go wrong on a kick (or one of the pass plays that have also been suggested), a 20 yard PAT is a certainty, but a 35 yard FG is an irresponsible call?!? Heck, the coach that won the game had the ball at the 1/2 yard-line in OT, then ran the ball to center it for a winning FG! Should he have thrown 3 passes to Blackmon instead?!?
I really do understand the temptation to second-guess here, and I was just as disappointed in the outcome as the rest of you, but there's no seat in the house like that of the Monday (or Tuesday, in this case) Morning QB!
The other strategic point that has apparently been ignored here is the fundamental difference in clock management when running vs. throwing. I don't think Shaw was trying NOT to score a TD, or even "center the kick" by running the ball (BTW, that penalty in OT sure made that last kick tougher!). I believe that he understands that passing plays may take just a few seconds off of the clock (potentially allowing OSU to turn a decent kick return into a game-tying, or even winning if we miss our kick first, FG), or the receiver may be tackled in bounds and the play can obviously take longer. When you run the ball, the offense truly controls the clock, because while you have fewer plays in which to gain the yards you may want (we didn't have much further to go, frankly), the clock is moving when the QB decides to snap the ball.
We were sitting in the cat-bird's seat, and Shaw chose a very reasonable strategy (in my view) that just didn't pan out. Jordan's historical FG percentage, and Andrew's completion percentage, are important factors in that calculus, but they are certainly not guarantees of future results that might render his chosen strategy irrational any more than Jordan's reportedly spot-on pre-game kicks proved to be a justification for his decision.
Disappointing outcome. Great game. Great players. Great coach... consider me grateful!
Here's to our heros heading to the NFL, those (including Jordan) who will be our heros next year, and those young men that are smart enough to chose Stanford come National LOI-signing day!
He who knows only his own side of the case knows little of that. - John Stuart Mill