[CTcard]

Ctcard, it is entirely possible for a 1 seed to exceed expected wins.  ... the expected number of wins is not a whole number, and is not based on the better seed always expected to beat a lower seed; it is probabilistic.

Yeah ... at the time I was moving quickly and I didn't dig through the links to find what he had actually done to decide what was expected.

Still think it's a pretty silly rubric, largely because "expectations" are an odd thing to compare to - after all a coaches' success itself is what sets those expectations.
And it's going to have a tendency to put the better coaches at the top and at the bottom - as well as those that stick around a while (it's a career total - not normalized per tournament or anything else). Just look at the bottom 5 out of 511; they have 120 tournament wins and 4 championships. It doesn't really look like a pitiful group.

[CTcard]

Ctcard, it is entirely possible for a 1 seed to exceed expected wins.  ... the expected number of wins is not a whole number, and is not based on the better seed always expected to beat a lower seed; it is probabilistic.

Yeah ... at the time I was moving quickly and I didn't dig through the links to find what he had actually done to decide what was expected.

Still think it's a pretty silly rubric, largely because "expectations" are an odd thing to compare to - after all a coaches' success itself is what sets those expectations.
And it's going to have a tendency to put the better coaches at the top and at the bottom - as well as those that stick around a while (it's a career total - not normalized per tournament or anything else). Just look at the bottom 5 out of 511; they have 120 tournament wins and 4 championships. It doesn't really look like a pitiful group.