[BostonCard]

Here were Wilner's predictions:

http://blogs.mercurynews.com/collegespor...ospects-2/

Henry Anderson DE – 6-6 – 294 – 4
One notch below the elite talents, he could sneak into the second day. Depends on where he projects (best bet: 3-4 end).

Alex Carter CB – 6-0 – 196 – 3
Subtract .1 from his 40-time (4.51) and he’d be a candidate for the first round. Could end up at safety.

Ty Montgomery WR – 6-0 – 221 – 6/7
Has trouble staying healthy and holding onto the ball. But he could be an elite kick returner.

David Parry DT – 6-1 – 308 – 7/FA
Former walk-on with the nasty streak. Don’t be surprised if he goes a few rounds earlier than projected.

Andrus Peat OT – 6-7 – 313 – 1
Amazing agility plus high-value position equals the first round — perhaps the first half of the first round.

Jordan Richards SS – 5-11 – 211 – 6
Smart and productive but lacks the elite athleticism to be high-round pick. Safeties not as valued as corners.

The last number is the draft round.  He missed Anderson by one round (but noted he could sneak into the second day, read, third round, with the 29th out of 32 picks).  He got Alex Carter dead on.  He whiffed on Montgomery, who was picked in the third round, but many of us were surprised he went that high.  He also missed Parry by a couple rounds (he went fifth), but his comment "Don't be surprised if he goes a few rounds earlier than projected" was prescient.  He got Peat right, but everyone thought Peat would be a first round pick.  He (like almost everyone else, including Richards himself) underestimated Richards, who went in the second round.

So, on the one hand, he underestimated half the picks by more than a round (Montgomery, Parry, and Richards), and didn't overestimate anybody.  On the other hand, he did predict that six would get drafted.  All in all, he more or less parroted the conventional wisdom, which was wrong in a bunch of cases.

BC

[BostonCard]

Here were Wilner's predictions:

http://blogs.mercurynews.com/collegespor...ospects-2/

Henry Anderson DE – 6-6 – 294 – 4
One notch below the elite talents, he could sneak into the second day. Depends on where he projects (best bet: 3-4 end).

Alex Carter CB – 6-0 – 196 – 3
Subtract .1 from his 40-time (4.51) and he’d be a candidate for the first round. Could end up at safety.

Ty Montgomery WR – 6-0 – 221 – 6/7
Has trouble staying healthy and holding onto the ball. But he could be an elite kick returner.

David Parry DT – 6-1 – 308 – 7/FA
Former walk-on with the nasty streak. Don’t be surprised if he goes a few rounds earlier than projected.

Andrus Peat OT – 6-7 – 313 – 1
Amazing agility plus high-value position equals the first round — perhaps the first half of the first round.

Jordan Richards SS – 5-11 – 211 – 6
Smart and productive but lacks the elite athleticism to be high-round pick. Safeties not as valued as corners.

The last number is the draft round.  He missed Anderson by one round (but noted he could sneak into the second day, read, third round, with the 29th out of 32 picks).  He got Alex Carter dead on.  He whiffed on Montgomery, who was picked in the third round, but many of us were surprised he went that high.  He also missed Parry by a couple rounds (he went fifth), but his comment "Don't be surprised if he goes a few rounds earlier than projected" was prescient.  He got Peat right, but everyone thought Peat would be a first round pick.  He (like almost everyone else, including Richards himself) underestimated Richards, who went in the second round.

So, on the one hand, he underestimated half the picks by more than a round (Montgomery, Parry, and Richards), and didn't overestimate anybody.  On the other hand, he did predict that six would get drafted.  All in all, he more or less parroted the conventional wisdom, which was wrong in a bunch of cases.

BC