[FarmBoy]

I think the concern is more that BB "reaches" in early rounds for safeties. But it would be interesting to see what the larger data set of all safeties is by round to know how Bill's picks compare. Fans tend to get an inflated expectation over how a 2nd rounder should perform, due to survival bias--remembering only the great safeties. They tend to forget how many players don't make it in the NFL, period. Still, I have no idea how many "starts" you should get from a typical 2nd round pick, so it's hard to say.

[FarmBoy]

I think the concern is more that BB "reaches" in early rounds for safeties. But it would be interesting to see what the larger data set of all safeties is by round to know how Bill's picks compare. Fans tend to get an inflated expectation over how a 2nd rounder should perform, due to survival bias--remembering only the great safeties. They tend to forget how many players don't make it in the NFL, period. Still, I have no idea how many "starts" you should get from a typical 2nd round pick, so it's hard to say.