10-08-2015, 03:38 AM
The local area Boston sports radio were discussing this topic yesterday. I assume it was initiated by this article. They were contending that there are even "questions about Andrew Luck". I'm not sure what it means to have "questions", but for the sake of the topic, I assume they mean it's questionable whether he's a valid NFL QB. I know he's had a rough start to the year, but do commentators nationally really doubt that?
Also, I don't have access to wsj.com, so I didn't read the article, but interested in what kind of data it presents to support itself. Is the % of NFL starting QBs who are <5 years out from school now different from what it was 10, 20, 30 years ago?
Using data from wikipedia on who's starting and when drafted, it appears that 16 of the 32 starting QBs in the league were drafted in 2011 or more recent. If the college QBs of today are unprepared, why are they getting the starts over veterans? I'm sure health and athleticism matter, but I wonder if the data supports this article.
If the argument is that the older QBs (Manning, Brady, Brees, etc) are better rated than the young guys, then I would says that's partly because of survivor bias. You don't get to be a 10+ year veteran without being really good. It was true of Elway, Montana and Marino.
Does the article compare data across periods?
Also, I don't have access to wsj.com, so I didn't read the article, but interested in what kind of data it presents to support itself. Is the % of NFL starting QBs who are <5 years out from school now different from what it was 10, 20, 30 years ago?
Using data from wikipedia on who's starting and when drafted, it appears that 16 of the 32 starting QBs in the league were drafted in 2011 or more recent. If the college QBs of today are unprepared, why are they getting the starts over veterans? I'm sure health and athleticism matter, but I wonder if the data supports this article.
If the argument is that the older QBs (Manning, Brady, Brees, etc) are better rated than the young guys, then I would says that's partly because of survivor bias. You don't get to be a 10+ year veteran without being really good. It was true of Elway, Montana and Marino.
Does the article compare data across periods?
