10-08-2015, 04:45 AM
Quote:Anyway, it doesn't use data. It relies on (attributed) quotes and anecdotes by NFL coaches and personnel execs expressing how new quarterbacks are entering the league much less prepared than quarterbacks of the past.
As for the 16 starting quarterbacks who have entered the league since 2011, I count nine from spread/option schemes and seven from pro schemes. The two aren't cut and dry, especially these days. There is a lot of gray area. But I did my best:
Spread/Option
Cam Newton
Tyrod Taylor
Andy Dalton
Colin Kaepernick
Brandon Weeden
Ryan Tannehill
Nick Foles
Derek Carr
Marcus Mariota
Pro
Ryan Mallett
Andrew Luck
Kirk Cousins
Russell Wilson
Blake Bortles
Teddy Bridgewater
Jameis Winston
A fairly unimpressive collection of QBs on the whole, but the Pro group gets the decided edge.
Unless there's strong data to support it, like WIM, I will be skeptical of the veracity of the article. It's like all those baseball scouts denigrating Billie Beane's Moneyball method because it didn't rely on their expertise. Old timers have a vested interest in saying that things should remain as they always have.
As to that list of QBs, I will repeat my point about survivor bias. WHenever you look at the list of players with <5 years of experience, you're going to have some mediocrity because they haven't been weeded out of the system yet. But in that list, you've got Cam Newton, Russel Wilson, Andrew Luck, and Dalton, all QBs who have shown ability to win in the NFL. The rest have a lot of open questions but that again is because they're young.
