[CTcard]

I don't think it's all that hard to figure out how the committee works, someone (wim?) basically outlined it somewhere else:

1) You have to Power 5.
2) If you have a 0 in the loss column, you're in. (There won't ever be 5 undefeated teams.)
3) If you have a 1 in the loss column, ties go to most wins and/or perceptions of conference strength.

3 plays to our advantage, since the Pac is perceived as being #2 to the SEC in strength.

And we'll have a great test of the truth of this in a couple weeks when rankings come out.

Don't think that is quite the decision tree.

It looks to me like,

1. Include only Power 5 conference teams.
2. Rank by number of losses.
3. Evaluate ties in number of losses by strength of schedule and style points.

I don't think that number of wins explicitly comes into play. I also don't think perceived strength of conference matters so much - though it can't help but colour perceived strength of individual teams. Last year, the Big 12 was clearly a better conference than the Big Ten, but Baylor and TCU were not clearly better than tOSU.

I do wonder if we'll ever see a two loss conference champion taken over a one loss Power 5 team. Under most conditions it seems unlikely, but we might if the one loss team is not a conference champ - particularly if the two loss team is the champ of the same conference.

[CTcard]

I don't think it's all that hard to figure out how the committee works, someone (wim?) basically outlined it somewhere else:

1) You have to Power 5.
2) If you have a 0 in the loss column, you're in. (There won't ever be 5 undefeated teams.)
3) If you have a 1 in the loss column, ties go to most wins and/or perceptions of conference strength.

3 plays to our advantage, since the Pac is perceived as being #2 to the SEC in strength.

And we'll have a great test of the truth of this in a couple weeks when rankings come out.

Don't think that is quite the decision tree.

It looks to me like,

1. Include only Power 5 conference teams.
2. Rank by number of losses.
3. Evaluate ties in number of losses by strength of schedule and style points.

I don't think that number of wins explicitly comes into play. I also don't think perceived strength of conference matters so much - though it can't help but colour perceived strength of individual teams. Last year, the Big 12 was clearly a better conference than the Big Ten, but Baylor and TCU were not clearly better than tOSU.

I do wonder if we'll ever see a two loss conference champion taken over a one loss Power 5 team. Under most conditions it seems unlikely, but we might if the one loss team is not a conference champ - particularly if the two loss team is the champ of the same conference.