[Hank 91]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/asce...s-week-10/

What was it, 23% last week?

Anyway, the stats presumably don't know that Baylor's starting a true freshman instead of an experienced player, so feel free to bump down Baylor's chances a bit. (Presumably some of that chance gets redistributed to Stanford.)

I haven't watched either quarterback, the experienced player who's out with the injury or his inexperienced replacement, but last week I was watching as (Stanford's own) Rod Gilmore broke down potential playoff teams, and he put Baylor firmly in the top four. For what it's worth, he said that the freshman was actually better than the guy he replaced, so Baylor fans needn't be concerned. Again, I've got no opinion on this.

[Hank 91]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/asce...s-week-10/

What was it, 23% last week?

Anyway, the stats presumably don't know that Baylor's starting a true freshman instead of an experienced player, so feel free to bump down Baylor's chances a bit. (Presumably some of that chance gets redistributed to Stanford.)

I haven't watched either quarterback, the experienced player who's out with the injury or his inexperienced replacement, but last week I was watching as (Stanford's own) Rod Gilmore broke down potential playoff teams, and he put Baylor firmly in the top four. For what it's worth, he said that the freshman was actually better than the guy he replaced, so Baylor fans needn't be concerned. Again, I've got no opinion on this.