11-24-2015, 02:14 PM
Sorry, my internet went down before I could post this... Here are the net stats.
Net stats:
So ND will be our toughest opponent, which is not a surprise given that they are a 1 loss team. We are actually pretty similar to Notre Dame. WE have about a 6 yard net field position advantage compared to them, but they have almost a 1 yard net yard/play differential advantage compared to us. This produces a 4 net yard per drive advantage for the domers. Both teams are really head and shoulders above everyone else in net three and out percentage (that is, forcing opponents into three and outs and not going three and out yourself), but they have a positive turnover differential while we are negative. Overall, we have a 0.3 net point per game advantage over ND, which, over the course of 10 or so drives would translate to a 3 point differential.
Clearly they are the best team we will play this season. By these stats, we are the second best Power 5 team they will play (I checked Clemson; they have a 1.69 point per drive advantage over their opponents, a 15.9 yards per drive advantage, a 2 yard per play advantage(!), but a 2.5 starting field position disadvantage). The most remarkable stat is that they run 10.1 more plays per 10 drives more than their opponents.
BC
Net stats:
| Team | Field position diff | Plays/10dr diff | yds/play diff | yds/drive diff | 3 and out% diff | eTO% diff | pts/dr diff |
| Stanford | -9.5 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 7.1 | -17.8% | -1.6% | 1.45 |
| UDFG | -3.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 11.3 | -14.0% | 2.8% | 1.15 |
| UCLA | 1.5 | -3.0 | 1.6 | 8.4 | -2.6% | -9.4% | 0.99 |
| Washington St. | -1.3 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 4.2 | -2.4% | -6.4% | 0.91 |
| Utah | -1.6 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 3.2 | -3.7% | -7.9% | 0.65 |
| Oregon | -1.0 | -4.4 | 1.2 | 3.7 | -2.1% | -2.9% | 0.50 |
| SC | 3.2 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 5.7 | 2.3% | -2.5% | 0.48 |
| Arizona St. | -1.8 | 6.5 | -0.2 | 2.5 | -12.5% | -0.9% | 0.14 |
| Northwestern | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.5% | -2.6% | 0.13 |
| Washington | -0.6 | -6.6 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 0.9% | -0.2% | 0.09 |
| Cal | 2.8 | -1.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | -1.2% | 5.1% | -0.04 |
| Arizona | 0.6 | -2.4 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -2.2% | 10.2% | -0.41 |
| Colorado | 1.8 | 3.7 | -1.2 | -4.9 | 6.2% | -0.5% | -0.67 |
| Central Florida | 1.6 | -6.7 | -2.6 | -17.7 | 5.2% | 19.3% | -2.06 |
| Oregon St. | 5.2 | -3.4 | -2.0 | -13.8 | 13.0% | 4.8% | -2.25 |
So ND will be our toughest opponent, which is not a surprise given that they are a 1 loss team. We are actually pretty similar to Notre Dame. WE have about a 6 yard net field position advantage compared to them, but they have almost a 1 yard net yard/play differential advantage compared to us. This produces a 4 net yard per drive advantage for the domers. Both teams are really head and shoulders above everyone else in net three and out percentage (that is, forcing opponents into three and outs and not going three and out yourself), but they have a positive turnover differential while we are negative. Overall, we have a 0.3 net point per game advantage over ND, which, over the course of 10 or so drives would translate to a 3 point differential.
Clearly they are the best team we will play this season. By these stats, we are the second best Power 5 team they will play (I checked Clemson; they have a 1.69 point per drive advantage over their opponents, a 15.9 yards per drive advantage, a 2 yard per play advantage(!), but a 2.5 starting field position disadvantage). The most remarkable stat is that they run 10.1 more plays per 10 drives more than their opponents.
BC