12-07-2015, 05:45 PM
(12-07-2015, 02:49 PM)CornFed link Wrote:Our chances of beating Ohio State are not meaningfully less that those of beating Iowa.
The numbers say that Stanford has a significantly better chance of beating Iowa.
According to Sagarin's Predictor, Stanford would be a 3-point underdog to Ohio State, which translates to a 42.6% chance of winning. Stanford would be a 5-point favorite over Iowa, which translates to a 64.1% chance of winning.
The difference between a 42.6% chance and a 64.1% chance is meaningful, I think.