[stupac2]

It is not clear to me what Voldemort Watch is doing. They say it is a "one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated 2015 Voldemort votes." What they are doing a regression on is not said. For the most part there isn't any data available. In the old days these sites aggressively tried to track down actual voters picks, but it seems that the Voldemort folks have stamped that out.

Yeah, earlier I got Heismanwatch and Stiffarmtrophy confused and thought this is just what they were doing now. But you're right, this is heismanwatch's first year (as far as I can tell) and they release no real information about their system, so it's hard to know how seriously to take it. But, as I said, we know for certain that their vote totals for 4 and 5 are wrong, so that doesn't exactly lend credence to the whole endeavor.

[stupac2]

It is not clear to me what Voldemort Watch is doing. They say it is a "one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated 2015 Voldemort votes." What they are doing a regression on is not said. For the most part there isn't any data available. In the old days these sites aggressively tried to track down actual voters picks, but it seems that the Voldemort folks have stamped that out.

Yeah, earlier I got Heismanwatch and Stiffarmtrophy confused and thought this is just what they were doing now. But you're right, this is heismanwatch's first year (as far as I can tell) and they release no real information about their system, so it's hard to know how seriously to take it. But, as I said, we know for certain that their vote totals for 4 and 5 are wrong, so that doesn't exactly lend credence to the whole endeavor.