[CTcard]

1A) In McCaffrey we bring back our top running back AND our top receiver; that's probably not being considered in the analysis, since in pretty much every other team, "returning receiver" means "returning wide receiver and maybe tight end".

That's not quite what he's doing.

He looks at returning rush yards, returning receiving yards, returning passing yards.
So, McCaffrey is accounted for - assuming no mistakes.


He then correlates these things with S&P+ numbers the ensuing season.

It's probably true that returning rushing yards matter more for a primarily running team, but trying to account for the particulars of each team would wipe out the statistcal nature of the statistics.

[CTcard]

1A) In McCaffrey we bring back our top running back AND our top receiver; that's probably not being considered in the analysis, since in pretty much every other team, "returning receiver" means "returning wide receiver and maybe tight end".

That's not quite what he's doing.

He looks at returning rush yards, returning receiving yards, returning passing yards.
So, McCaffrey is accounted for - assuming no mistakes.


He then correlates these things with S&P+ numbers the ensuing season.

It's probably true that returning rushing yards matter more for a primarily running team, but trying to account for the particulars of each team would wipe out the statistcal nature of the statistics.