[gocard14]

I didn't see any drive calculator that would give the expected point value of a drive starting at your own 25 with 30s left, But you can look at win probability as a surrogate. Being tied in a game in that scenario gives a 57% win probability. Assuming that calculator gives you a 50% shot of winning in OT, that means you have at least a 7% chance of scoring. The true chance is likely higher, as you have to subtract the probability of a turnover and points for the other team.

That being said, I have no qualms with avoiding 3 extra touches for Mccaffrey when he already has sky high usage rates.

[gocard14]

I didn't see any drive calculator that would give the expected point value of a drive starting at your own 25 with 30s left, But you can look at win probability as a surrogate. Being tied in a game in that scenario gives a 57% win probability. Assuming that calculator gives you a 50% shot of winning in OT, that means you have at least a 7% chance of scoring. The true chance is likely higher, as you have to subtract the probability of a turnover and points for the other team.

That being said, I have no qualms with avoiding 3 extra touches for Mccaffrey when he already has sky high usage rates.