[CTcard]

It was a radio interview that I can't readily find at the moment. I suppose I could hunt around for it, but he sounded like -- positively! -- a very driven guy. No problem with that, but in forecasting I think you can't discount ambitious people's pursuits.

Do you happen to remember when he said this?

A statement at the start of the year would more likely be closer to current truth than one made as he was preparing to head off to Stanford - and would factor in things like having played only a little bit freshman year and losing his entire sophomore year to injury.

[CTcard]

It was a radio interview that I can't readily find at the moment. I suppose I could hunt around for it, but he sounded like -- positively! -- a very driven guy. No problem with that, but in forecasting I think you can't discount ambitious people's pursuits.

Do you happen to remember when he said this?

A statement at the start of the year would more likely be closer to current truth than one made as he was preparing to head off to Stanford - and would factor in things like having played only a little bit freshman year and losing his entire sophomore year to injury.