[d4cohn]

Call me (optimistically) crazy, but I think Hanson over the upcoming 24 just might elevate this team to the 5-win level reached by the crippled Rittman team of 2014.
Here is what my crystal ball is telling me:

                                                                    5-19

I break it down like this:                   

TEAMS	          COMBINED # OF GAMES TO BE PLAYED	          WINS
Oregon-Arizona	                                          6	            "1/4"      (0 or 1, more likely 0)
Washington-Utah	                                          6	            "3/4"      (0 or 1, more likely 1)
UCLA-ןɐɔ-AZ State	                                          9	          "2 1/2"    (2 or 3, equally likely)
Oregon State	                                          3	          "1 1/2"    (1 or 2, equally likely)
TOTAL	                                          24	              5

           

I also had 5 wins as my most optimistic estimate. I think a performance mirroring 2015's conference record (2-22, with wins over Utah and Arizona State at home) is more likely. Two points to consider: 1) Because of our non-conference schedule, we haven't beaten an RPI Top 50 squad this year (0-4 record). Everyone in the Pac-12, aside from Oregon State (at #53), is a Top 50 team. Therefore, it is hard for me to predict wins over Top 50 squads when we currently haven't done it yet. 2) Coach Hanson, in her tenure, has not won a single road Pac-12 game (0-24 record). As such, I think your Oregon State projection is optimistic. I definitely think we could steal a game, but I do not think a road series win is likely.

[d4cohn]

Call me (optimistically) crazy, but I think Hanson over the upcoming 24 just might elevate this team to the 5-win level reached by the crippled Rittman team of 2014.
Here is what my crystal ball is telling me:

                                                                    5-19

I break it down like this:                   

TEAMS	          COMBINED # OF GAMES TO BE PLAYED	          WINS
Oregon-Arizona	                                          6	            "1/4"      (0 or 1, more likely 0)
Washington-Utah	                                          6	            "3/4"      (0 or 1, more likely 1)
UCLA-ןɐɔ-AZ State	                                          9	          "2 1/2"    (2 or 3, equally likely)
Oregon State	                                          3	          "1 1/2"    (1 or 2, equally likely)
TOTAL	                                          24	              5

           

I also had 5 wins as my most optimistic estimate. I think a performance mirroring 2015's conference record (2-22, with wins over Utah and Arizona State at home) is more likely. Two points to consider: 1) Because of our non-conference schedule, we haven't beaten an RPI Top 50 squad this year (0-4 record). Everyone in the Pac-12, aside from Oregon State (at #53), is a Top 50 team. Therefore, it is hard for me to predict wins over Top 50 squads when we currently haven't done it yet. 2) Coach Hanson, in her tenure, has not won a single road Pac-12 game (0-24 record). As such, I think your Oregon State projection is optimistic. I definitely think we could steal a game, but I do not think a road series win is likely.