(03-26-2017, 12:04 AM)Owen Tufornomor link Wrote:
Year Dartmouth Stanford  0   11-7 5-19  1  10-10  2-22  2   7-13 0-24  3   15-5   ?  4   18-2
Notice a pattern here? In each of the two cases illustrated above ("Dartmouth" and "Stanford") Hanson in Year 1 falls short of reaching her predecessor's wins total (see Year 0 results above). Then in Year 2 Hanson again comes up short, this time failing to reach her own wins total from the previous year. And then last, but hardly least, after the 2-year decline comes the Year 3 rebound.
Well, the "?" in the table above can be replaced with a "2-22" now. The "rebound" from Year 2 to Year 3 here at Stanford was hardly the seemingly impressive (at first glance) 8-game rebound (from the 7-13 depths to which Hanson took the Dartmouth program in two years' time) that played out in Hanson's 3rd year at Dartmouth, was it. Nonetheless, the "down-down-up" pattern (from 5-19 "down" to 2-22, then from 2-22 "down" to 0-24, then from 0-24 "up" to 2-22) of the past 3 years still (roughly) mirrors the down-down-up pattern of Hanson's first 3 years at Dartmouth. Should Hanson be retained for a 4th year, heaven forbid, and should the pattern be "mirrored" again next year, as would be my guess, I suspect that, just as the Year 3 "up" (2-game improvement) at Stanford was a fraction of the Year 3 "up" (8-game improvement) at Dartmouth, so likewise will the "up" realized in Hanson's 4th year at Stanford be a fraction of the "up" (3-game improvement) realized in Hanson's 4th year at Dartmouth.
Under Hanson in 2018, I would set the over/under for Pac-12 wins at, oh, 3 1/2 ? Are you getting goose bumps all over in sheer anticipation? I know I am.  :-[
I do so hope I am wasting my time speculating on how things might go with Hanson at the helm for another year. Heaven forbid.
