[FarmBoy]

[quote author=OutsiderFan link=topic=17483.msg202688#msg202688 date=1506301116]
IPlus, Costello had a better completion percentage in high school than Burns or Chryst, against better competition.

I was pretty impressed with this fact, until I looked a bit deeper. Yes, Costello had a higher carer completion percentage than Chryst. HOWEVER, Chryst had a higher quarterback rating than Costello every single year. Chryst also threw for more touchdowns and more yards. For those of you who want to check, look at

http://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/kj-coste...-stats.htm
http://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/keller-c...-stats.htm

So "cherry-picking" one stat can create a probably misleading impression. What do these stats really mean? Probably very little. I kick myself for paying attention to this red herring. That said, I still hope that they start Costello, but this is a bogus data point.
[/quote]

Can some of that difference be explained by the level of competition they went against? I don't know much about high school football, but I do know the names St. John Bosco, Long Beach Poly, Mater Dei, Oaks Christian, and Servite.

I also recall Chryst underwhelming at the elite 11 camp. True, it's an elite group, but he went in with a very high rating and seemed to drop throughout the week. Perhaps that was a sign that his high rating wasn't as well substantiated?

[FarmBoy]

[quote author=OutsiderFan link=topic=17483.msg202688#msg202688 date=1506301116]
IPlus, Costello had a better completion percentage in high school than Burns or Chryst, against better competition.

I was pretty impressed with this fact, until I looked a bit deeper. Yes, Costello had a higher carer completion percentage than Chryst. HOWEVER, Chryst had a higher quarterback rating than Costello every single year. Chryst also threw for more touchdowns and more yards. For those of you who want to check, look at

http://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/kj-coste...-stats.htm
http://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/keller-c...-stats.htm

So "cherry-picking" one stat can create a probably misleading impression. What do these stats really mean? Probably very little. I kick myself for paying attention to this red herring. That said, I still hope that they start Costello, but this is a bogus data point.
[/quote]

Can some of that difference be explained by the level of competition they went against? I don't know much about high school football, but I do know the names St. John Bosco, Long Beach Poly, Mater Dei, Oaks Christian, and Servite.

I also recall Chryst underwhelming at the elite 11 camp. True, it's an elite group, but he went in with a very high rating and seemed to drop throughout the week. Perhaps that was a sign that his high rating wasn't as well substantiated?