[Goose]

"DS is highlighting KC's resume and references KJC's "shorter sample size.""

"The moment we don't play guys based on our production...now I'm doing everybody a disservice."

-Coach David Shaw

https://twitter.com/TheBootleg/status/91...2053497856

https://twitter.com/TheBootleg/status/91...1327830017

I'm not sure what the second quote means -- I guess he's saying that, look, if the team plays poorly it doesn't make sense to scapegoat one player? Maybe? I dunno. Weird comments.

Of course, I think it goes without saying that a planned QB rotation is a really dumb idea. A "wildcat" QB -- with that QB serving as a sort of run-mostly QB -- isn't that terrible, as far as it goes. But Burns has been...poor as the run-mostly QB. I'm not sure he's had a lot of quality runs, to be honest. *Theoretically* he seems like a good runner, but then again Burns also has a strong arm and therefore might *theoretically* seem like a good passer too. There's no evidence of effectiveness.

And I'm not sure what Chryst gets you that Costello doesn't.

Chryst does have a wider grasp of the offense, or at least the coaches think so. It is clear they have simplified the playbook for Costello. He only looks at half the field. His decisions are faster at least partly because he has fewer of them.  It is also true that on may of the six and eight yard passes he completed, he never looked at any other receiver. That is actually fine. He often only had one other option, and if the first one was there, take it. On a pattern like that, you aren't "looking off" any defenders anyway. However, Costello hasn't really generated big numbers. He hasn't been asked to. If the simplified offense he has been running doesn't work, he may not be able to run the more complex offense required against good defense. I don't know. The coaches may know, or think they know, that he can't.

Costello might have a smaller sample size but Chryst's large sample size has mostly served to demonstrate he's not an accurate QB. Even when he was playing well -- i.e. roasting bad defenses -- he wasn't terribly accurate. He only has two starts (of seven) with a greater than 60 percent completion rate. Costello's already equalled Chryst in that respect with 1.75 games under his belt. Chryst has *never* been accurate; he never exceeded 60 percent completion rate in a season in high school either.

I don't know what statistics source you are using for this. According to http://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/keller-c...-stats.htm, he DID complete 61.6% of his passes in his senior year. Would like to know your source, as MaxPreps depends on "self reporting" and may be flawed. Anyway, what he did four years ago doesn't matter if he can't do it today.

Chryst may have a bigger sample size, but it's a sample size that demonstrates he's a dubious proposition to get the job done.

Basically, I agree. I would start Costello, and if Utah is confusing him, or covering what we are trying to run, fall back to Chryst. I expect Shaw will try it in the other order. I agree that Chryst has not been a particularly accurate passer while at Stanford. Moreover, I think he is not fully recovered from his knee injury. He looked real slow on his run against UCLA, and he wasn't a great runner before that. He had a real bad game against SDSU, but even at his best, he never convinced me that he could take what was there. With Stanford's offense, we must be able to do that. Costello has shown the ability to do "enough", but against bad defenses and with a limited game plan. Sometime soon, we need to see if he can do "enough" against a good defense.

[Goose]

"DS is highlighting KC's resume and references KJC's "shorter sample size.""

"The moment we don't play guys based on our production...now I'm doing everybody a disservice."

-Coach David Shaw

https://twitter.com/TheBootleg/status/91...2053497856

https://twitter.com/TheBootleg/status/91...1327830017

I'm not sure what the second quote means -- I guess he's saying that, look, if the team plays poorly it doesn't make sense to scapegoat one player? Maybe? I dunno. Weird comments.

Of course, I think it goes without saying that a planned QB rotation is a really dumb idea. A "wildcat" QB -- with that QB serving as a sort of run-mostly QB -- isn't that terrible, as far as it goes. But Burns has been...poor as the run-mostly QB. I'm not sure he's had a lot of quality runs, to be honest. *Theoretically* he seems like a good runner, but then again Burns also has a strong arm and therefore might *theoretically* seem like a good passer too. There's no evidence of effectiveness.

And I'm not sure what Chryst gets you that Costello doesn't.

Chryst does have a wider grasp of the offense, or at least the coaches think so. It is clear they have simplified the playbook for Costello. He only looks at half the field. His decisions are faster at least partly because he has fewer of them.  It is also true that on may of the six and eight yard passes he completed, he never looked at any other receiver. That is actually fine. He often only had one other option, and if the first one was there, take it. On a pattern like that, you aren't "looking off" any defenders anyway. However, Costello hasn't really generated big numbers. He hasn't been asked to. If the simplified offense he has been running doesn't work, he may not be able to run the more complex offense required against good defense. I don't know. The coaches may know, or think they know, that he can't.

Costello might have a smaller sample size but Chryst's large sample size has mostly served to demonstrate he's not an accurate QB. Even when he was playing well -- i.e. roasting bad defenses -- he wasn't terribly accurate. He only has two starts (of seven) with a greater than 60 percent completion rate. Costello's already equalled Chryst in that respect with 1.75 games under his belt. Chryst has *never* been accurate; he never exceeded 60 percent completion rate in a season in high school either.

I don't know what statistics source you are using for this. According to http://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/keller-c...-stats.htm, he DID complete 61.6% of his passes in his senior year. Would like to know your source, as MaxPreps depends on "self reporting" and may be flawed. Anyway, what he did four years ago doesn't matter if he can't do it today.

Chryst may have a bigger sample size, but it's a sample size that demonstrates he's a dubious proposition to get the job done.

Basically, I agree. I would start Costello, and if Utah is confusing him, or covering what we are trying to run, fall back to Chryst. I expect Shaw will try it in the other order. I agree that Chryst has not been a particularly accurate passer while at Stanford. Moreover, I think he is not fully recovered from his knee injury. He looked real slow on his run against UCLA, and he wasn't a great runner before that. He had a real bad game against SDSU, but even at his best, he never convinced me that he could take what was there. With Stanford's offense, we must be able to do that. Costello has shown the ability to do "enough", but against bad defenses and with a limited game plan. Sometime soon, we need to see if he can do "enough" against a good defense.