[stupac2]

Does anyone see a likely win remaining? At this point, I'd say Big Game is a push. Next week and Notre Dame are probable losses.

It depends on what you think this team's true performance level is. If you think that the home games against ASU and Oregon are our actual ability, then I'd put the O/U for wins at 1.5 (I'd say the mean is like 1.8, though). If you think it's the road games against Oregon State and Washington State, then it's probably at 1 (there's just no way Big Game is a push).

The fact that there's a brobdingnagian road/home split in our results so far ought to tell you which way to lean.

[stupac2]

Does anyone see a likely win remaining? At this point, I'd say Big Game is a push. Next week and Notre Dame are probable losses.

It depends on what you think this team's true performance level is. If you think that the home games against ASU and Oregon are our actual ability, then I'd put the O/U for wins at 1.5 (I'd say the mean is like 1.8, though). If you think it's the road games against Oregon State and Washington State, then it's probably at 1 (there's just no way Big Game is a push).

The fact that there's a brobdingnagian road/home split in our results so far ought to tell you which way to lean.