12-07-2017, 01:55 PM
(12-07-2017, 01:43 PM)jacketree link Wrote:Just my feeling, but against better defenses, this version of the offense is simply not as clutch than the better versions under Shaw.
Fortunately we *do* have points per possession statistics available. This year Stanford averaged 2.78 points per drive, good (or maybe bad) for 17th in the country. Over the past month or so, Stanford faced several good defenses:
Washington State (1.74 ppd allowed -- 34th in the country)
Washington (1.16 ppd allowed -- 7th in the country)
59ers (2.48 ppd allowed -- 86th in the country)
N.D. (1.66 ppd allowed -- 26th in the country)
SC (2.04 ppd allowed -- 53rd in the country)
I could meticulously calculate the actual points per drive for each game, or I could rely on the game-by-game ratings used by Brian Fremeau, whose stats we've cited previously.
He rates Stanford's offensive performances thusly:
WSU: .616 percentile
Washington: .922 percentile
59ers: .867
ND: .882
SC: .773
In other words, Stanford performed really good down the stretch. In fact, if you're worried about "clutchness" of the offense, the concerns are completely misguided: in fact, the offense pulled the bandwagon along during the final games of the season. It was the defense (.407 against WSU; .809 against UW; .247 against 59ers; .916 against ND; .229 against SC) that was worryingly inconsistent.
