[CTcard]

[quote author=oldalum link=topic=18345.msg218002#msg218002 date=1513051005]
how much does losing to #1 or #2 team hurt us in the RPI?

Not much, but the problem is we have no good wins.  [/quote]


RPI doesn't really work like that (and those were #1 and #2 in Sagarin, Baylor is #21 in RPI right now).

RPI doesn't explicitly consider good wins or bad losses or anything like that. It is a pretty simple, overly simple, mathematical sum of won-loss records with a focus more on a team's opponents.

It is:
25% your own win-loss percentage.
50% your opponents' win-loss percentage.
25% your opponents' opponents' win-loss percentage.

And win-loss is adjusted for home-away, I think it is still the formula that home game counts as 0.6 of a game, a road game as 1.4, and a neutral site game as 1. Perhaps the exact numbers have been updated.

-----
So, if both were at the same venue, beating UConn and losing to CSU Bakersfield would give you the exact same RPI as beating CSU Bakersfield and losing to UConn.

[CTcard]

[quote author=oldalum link=topic=18345.msg218002#msg218002 date=1513051005]
how much does losing to #1 or #2 team hurt us in the RPI?

Not much, but the problem is we have no good wins.  [/quote]


RPI doesn't really work like that (and those were #1 and #2 in Sagarin, Baylor is #21 in RPI right now).

RPI doesn't explicitly consider good wins or bad losses or anything like that. It is a pretty simple, overly simple, mathematical sum of won-loss records with a focus more on a team's opponents.

It is:
25% your own win-loss percentage.
50% your opponents' win-loss percentage.
25% your opponents' opponents' win-loss percentage.

And win-loss is adjusted for home-away, I think it is still the formula that home game counts as 0.6 of a game, a road game as 1.4, and a neutral site game as 1. Perhaps the exact numbers have been updated.

-----
So, if both were at the same venue, beating UConn and losing to CSU Bakersfield would give you the exact same RPI as beating CSU Bakersfield and losing to UConn.