02-05-2018, 05:47 PM
On Collinsworth....
It wasn't that he was wrong (twice); it was how sure he was that he was right. It's one thing if he says, "I don't think that's a catch, but it is close. The ruling will be dependent on whether the refs saw enough to consider Ertz to have completed the catch"; it's another to say "this should be overturned". I think on the Ertz catch, he reaches the ball out to have it cross the plane, which should be a "football move", no?
On the decision to go for it...
Pederson has been the most aggressive coach in going for it all season; I think I posted a link that he has some analytics guys who calculate the percentages for him in real time and tell him what the numbers say (from the article, it sounds like they give him a "green", "yellow" or "red" on going for it. He has the ultimate responsibility for calling it. On that particular call, I agree with Terry. The 50 or so added yards that he would have gotten from a punt probably decreased New England's chances of scoring from 90% to 85%. On the other hand, converting the fourth down increased the chances of Philadelphia scoring on that drive from 0% to 40%. The chances of converting were >50%. It was a no brainer.
BC
It wasn't that he was wrong (twice); it was how sure he was that he was right. It's one thing if he says, "I don't think that's a catch, but it is close. The ruling will be dependent on whether the refs saw enough to consider Ertz to have completed the catch"; it's another to say "this should be overturned". I think on the Ertz catch, he reaches the ball out to have it cross the plane, which should be a "football move", no?
On the decision to go for it...
Pederson has been the most aggressive coach in going for it all season; I think I posted a link that he has some analytics guys who calculate the percentages for him in real time and tell him what the numbers say (from the article, it sounds like they give him a "green", "yellow" or "red" on going for it. He has the ultimate responsibility for calling it. On that particular call, I agree with Terry. The 50 or so added yards that he would have gotten from a punt probably decreased New England's chances of scoring from 90% to 85%. On the other hand, converting the fourth down increased the chances of Philadelphia scoring on that drive from 0% to 40%. The chances of converting were >50%. It was a no brainer.
BC