09-01-2018, 02:09 PM
(09-01-2018, 09:47 AM)terry Wrote: Winning by a margin of 31-10 qualifies as "we smoke these guys."
We were clearly the much better team.
Beat the spread (-13 or -14 depending on where you got your line), Connelly's S&P+ projected margin (12), and Sagarin's expected margin (17). It wasn't a flukey result; Stanford had about 1.4 yards per play more. Turnovers were even and if anything a bit unlucky for Stanford (it recovered 50% of fumbles; it converted 0/3 PBUs into INTs while SDSU got 1/4... which is mildly unlucky). Overall Stanford did a bit better than expected by the projectors.