[76lsjumb]

Well, except the percentages weren't in Shaw's favor.

***
But I wouldn't rely on this argument as a Shaw defender--do you think it's more or less likely that Stanford scores a touchdown from the 23 than otherwise, and given that we haven't turned the ball over in the redzone all year, do you think it's more or less likely that we turn the ball over than otherwise? (The only times we've failed to score in the redzone were...missed kicks.)

Two points.  First, this was the first time all year we played the No. 1 team in the country in causing turnovers.  Second, the point about only having missed kicks in the endzone is a tad bit misleading.  Prior to the Fiesta Bowl, we were in the red zone 64 times.  We scored 50 touchdowns and 13 field goals, and we missed one field goal. To my recollection, we attempted to score touchdowns ALL 64 times we made it into the red zone, but "failed" to do so on 14 of those attempts [for a touchdown "success" rate of 78%].  On those 14 "failed" touchdown attempts, we attempted 14 field goals and were successful on 13 of them [for a field goal "success" rate of almost 93%].  In other words, our remarkable scoring percentage inside the red zone owes a fair bit to our successful field goal percentage.

[76lsjumb]

Well, except the percentages weren't in Shaw's favor.

***
But I wouldn't rely on this argument as a Shaw defender--do you think it's more or less likely that Stanford scores a touchdown from the 23 than otherwise, and given that we haven't turned the ball over in the redzone all year, do you think it's more or less likely that we turn the ball over than otherwise? (The only times we've failed to score in the redzone were...missed kicks.)

Two points.  First, this was the first time all year we played the No. 1 team in the country in causing turnovers.  Second, the point about only having missed kicks in the endzone is a tad bit misleading.  Prior to the Fiesta Bowl, we were in the red zone 64 times.  We scored 50 touchdowns and 13 field goals, and we missed one field goal. To my recollection, we attempted to score touchdowns ALL 64 times we made it into the red zone, but "failed" to do so on 14 of those attempts [for a touchdown "success" rate of 78%].  On those 14 "failed" touchdown attempts, we attempted 14 field goals and were successful on 13 of them [for a field goal "success" rate of almost 93%].  In other words, our remarkable scoring percentage inside the red zone owes a fair bit to our successful field goal percentage.