01-07-2012, 12:21 PM
(01-07-2012, 11:28 AM)76lsjumb link Wrote:I wasn't a psych major [nor have I ever played one on TV], but I've got to believe there is a study somewhere showing that, in Monday[or, here, Tuesday]-morning quarterbacking situations, where something bad happened as a result of the decision actually made, there is a natural tendency to OVERESTIMATE the probability of that bad outcome and a similar tendency to UNDERESTIMATE the probability of a bad outcome from the other available alternatives.Â
Thus, it becomes more clear to everyone AFTER the kick is missed that a guy who made 6 of 7 from that range during the season, had nailed his last PAT, and had made his last field goal, was, "obviously," a too-young guy, scared out of his mind, incapable of handling the pressure of a fairly routine kick to win a really big game.Â
Speaking for myself, I was saying this right as the drive began. And judging from Twitter, there were plenty of people saying it even before Williamson took the kick.
It was the wrong decision--period.
