04-07-2019, 08:07 PM
(04-07-2019, 07:29 PM)BobK Wrote: It’s both sad and terrible that we have lost three very very possible wins that won’t be made up.
This puts tremendous pressure on us to win about 4-5 games against UCLA, Arizona, ASU and Washington
Hope I’m wrong with the pressure and that we can win those games
No Bob, you are spot on, per usual. There was not much that could have been done regarding today's game
(since tomorrow's weather is also supposed to be awful), but Oregon State managed to get in a home game
in baseball against Utah that started at noon yesterday. How could that not have been done for softball as well?
Both teams' student-athletes have enough responsibilities to manage, that I expect as a fan that the schedule will be managed
and adapted to ensure that we are essentially not wasting their time with rainouts. If I can tell
with my phone and the weather.com app when the breaks in the rain will occur, I can assure you others with even more
weather data at their disposal can plan accordingly.
I don't think that the pressure is on per se to make the tourney, but that pressure is there as far as being a regional host.
As I said at the beginning of conference play, I really think we will need to finish with a winning conference record
to have a chance. With three rainouts against two of the worst teams in conference, our odds have essentially not improved
regarding finishing with a winning conference record since the start of Pac-12 play, despite a 5-1 start to Pac-12 play.
As of right now, using Massey probabilities, I am projecting a 34-16 or 33-17 finish, with a 10-11 record in Pac-12 play
with my simulation model. Either should be perfectly fine for making the tourney, but I have a feeling we will fall just
short of a top 16 seed if we end up with a losing record in Pac play.
The weather report looks fine for this weekend against Utah and the midweek with Santa Clara, so hopefully,
it is a 4-0 week to all but lock up the tourney berth.
