12-09-2019, 09:56 AM
(12-07-2019, 04:16 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: Not taking one in '18 hurts. You can kind of argue that whole class will affect us for multiple years too:
- No TE
- Only 1 OL who has been hurt his entire career here
- Only 1 RB (despite Heimuli-Lund's departure and Wedington moving to WR) who probably won't contribute...especially if we land EJ Smith
- Only 3 DBs (despite being very thin there and only taking 2 in the previous class), 2 of whom probably won't contribute due to frequent injury (Bonner) or being passed up by true frosh walk-ons on STs (Logan)
- Only 1 DL (assuming Fox stays at OLB), who didn't RS so only has 2 eligible years left. Only taking 1 again in '19 will prove to be the real killer here. Needed more in at least one of those two classes, if not both.
- A QB who we offered too early (at age 15!!!) who didn't develop much in HS...we saw what happened when he played. Rumor has it he's the reason we're waiting so long to offer QBs now, including '21 (but there is a short list and I think/hope an offer is coming soon after HS playoffs finish).
- A scholarship FB not even in the same universe as previous wrecking balls Daniel Marx and Ryan Hewitt. It's one thing to get a scholarship FB who's clearly a beast, but it's another to...uh...not. Two years in a row. I think staff has learned.
Having a couple holes/whiffs in a large class is expected and not usually a big deal. But when it's over half the class of just 14 guys and you don't have the depth to support it? Massive yikes.
Yup, the class of 2108 is going to hurt us for another couple years. This is a class that would make up our juniors next year, and thus should be close to peak contribution. Here are the starters or significant contributors from that class:
Semi Fehoko (but he was originally in the 2016 class)
Michael Wilson
Thomas Booker
Kendell Williamson (more out of necessity than anything else)
Andres Fox
Ricky Miezan and/or JMF (if healthy, contribution TBD)
And that's it. Good the class of 2017 was pretty good (though small and a bit disappointing compared to its ranking) and that 2019 has so far contributed more than expected, and 2020 looks to be decent. But still, the combination of small classes in 2017 and 2018 and major holes in 2018 don't augur well for next year, when those classes will be juniors and seniors.
I'm a bit more bullish after that
BC
