[Lorcan]

In the midst of Oregon's thrashing of UConn in Hartford, we caught a glimpse into the committee's thinking on how they are constructing the bracket. We can assume that this might have changed slightly given tonight's result. There are a few surprises, such as Maryland managing to sneak all the way up to #8 on the strength of their recent wins combined with the rise of Iowa and Northwestern who they had lost to previously. Some people clearly might be outraged at Arizona getting #13, especially given that their OOC SOS was #337 in the nation, but they have beaten Texas, UCLA, and Arizona State. I'm mildly surprised that Arizona State didn't sneak in on the strength of their wins over Oregon and Oregon State. If those don't garner them a seed now, I'm not sure what else they will be able to do to garner a seed later. 

From a regional perspective, there are a couple of surprises to me. I was surprised that they moved Gonzaga out of Portland as regionally, that makes sense to keep them there but a few factors are likely at play. Oregon will already draw well enough to Portland, and in the interest of balancing the regions, you can't exactly send the weakest #2, and the weakest #3 out to Portland. So, the solution is to create a scary match-up for Stanford in Dallas by forcing them to run a gauntlet of Gonzaga and Baylor back to back if the seeds hold. The Pac-12 and the SEC both have 11 remaining games between ranked teams, while the Big 10 and the ACC have just 2 each. So, I would expect that the seeds for those regions to be more volatile, unless Maryland or DePaul who just dropped a game at home to Creighton find new ways to stumble. 

Much of this is pure speculation at this point, but it's fun to see what the committee is thinking as they attempt to split up 5 Pac-12 Teams.

[Lorcan]

In the midst of Oregon's thrashing of UConn in Hartford, we caught a glimpse into the committee's thinking on how they are constructing the bracket. We can assume that this might have changed slightly given tonight's result. There are a few surprises, such as Maryland managing to sneak all the way up to #8 on the strength of their recent wins combined with the rise of Iowa and Northwestern who they had lost to previously. Some people clearly might be outraged at Arizona getting #13, especially given that their OOC SOS was #337 in the nation, but they have beaten Texas, UCLA, and Arizona State. I'm mildly surprised that Arizona State didn't sneak in on the strength of their wins over Oregon and Oregon State. If those don't garner them a seed now, I'm not sure what else they will be able to do to garner a seed later. 

From a regional perspective, there are a couple of surprises to me. I was surprised that they moved Gonzaga out of Portland as regionally, that makes sense to keep them there but a few factors are likely at play. Oregon will already draw well enough to Portland, and in the interest of balancing the regions, you can't exactly send the weakest #2, and the weakest #3 out to Portland. So, the solution is to create a scary match-up for Stanford in Dallas by forcing them to run a gauntlet of Gonzaga and Baylor back to back if the seeds hold. The Pac-12 and the SEC both have 11 remaining games between ranked teams, while the Big 10 and the ACC have just 2 each. So, I would expect that the seeds for those regions to be more volatile, unless Maryland or DePaul who just dropped a game at home to Creighton find new ways to stumble. 

Much of this is pure speculation at this point, but it's fun to see what the committee is thinking as they attempt to split up 5 Pac-12 Teams.