This particular video of this particular person is not a repost, but this topic has been hashed over and over.
The evidence has already proven Covid didn’t circulate widely in CA last November. The evidence thus far points to it widely circulating mid to late february on.
The new rehashed theory is that it’s been circulating so widely the cfr is very low. Some think it will be so low so as to open the economy.
I think everyone here agrees that the testing has been such a failure in the US that there are many more true cases than known.
At least this guy is framing it as, we need to test it and measure.
The San Mateo Public Health Officer thinks the multiple of true cases / known cases will be 20-35.
That seems unlikely to me because of the fairly widespread testing in places like Korea and the fact that only ~10% tests in the US come back positive, so I’d expect a multiple of 3-8x, not 30x or 100x.
And as MT points out, using NBA players as somehow representative of the US is so, so dumb.
Also, there’s another conflation error here. Just because a professor at the school of medicine has a theory, the title should not imply that opinion somehow reflects an official statement by the school of medicine, or the results of a study. I can think of a media company that frequently uses misleading titles like this on their unsuspecting audience, but hopefully the readers at the Cardboard aren’t so gullible.
I hope the multiple is super high — that’ll significantly decrease the odds I die in the next two years, but the multiple is whatever it is. And actual data should start coming in any day now.
The evidence has already proven Covid didn’t circulate widely in CA last November. The evidence thus far points to it widely circulating mid to late february on.
The new rehashed theory is that it’s been circulating so widely the cfr is very low. Some think it will be so low so as to open the economy.
I think everyone here agrees that the testing has been such a failure in the US that there are many more true cases than known.
At least this guy is framing it as, we need to test it and measure.
The San Mateo Public Health Officer thinks the multiple of true cases / known cases will be 20-35.
That seems unlikely to me because of the fairly widespread testing in places like Korea and the fact that only ~10% tests in the US come back positive, so I’d expect a multiple of 3-8x, not 30x or 100x.
And as MT points out, using NBA players as somehow representative of the US is so, so dumb.
Also, there’s another conflation error here. Just because a professor at the school of medicine has a theory, the title should not imply that opinion somehow reflects an official statement by the school of medicine, or the results of a study. I can think of a media company that frequently uses misleading titles like this on their unsuspecting audience, but hopefully the readers at the Cardboard aren’t so gullible.
I hope the multiple is super high — that’ll significantly decrease the odds I die in the next two years, but the multiple is whatever it is. And actual data should start coming in any day now.