[2006alum]

For what it is worth, in New York City, the population is 8.4 million and there have been 10,000 deaths, so that pushes the lower bound of the IFR to .12%.

BC

That's a conservative estimate, too, because it excludes probable deaths, which account for another ~4,000. At that point, you're well past the lower bound of .12% and getting closer to the upper bound of the Ioannidis Study's upper bound estimate of .2% IFR. 

And BTW, one other thing I have not seen mentioned anywhere is that NYC has no where near 8.4m people residing in the five boroughs right now; I would say approximately 50% of the people I know who live and work in NYC have not been sheltering in place in NYC for the past 2-5 weeks. That would further reduce the denominator and push up the IFR.

[2006alum]

For what it is worth, in New York City, the population is 8.4 million and there have been 10,000 deaths, so that pushes the lower bound of the IFR to .12%.

BC

That's a conservative estimate, too, because it excludes probable deaths, which account for another ~4,000. At that point, you're well past the lower bound of .12% and getting closer to the upper bound of the Ioannidis Study's upper bound estimate of .2% IFR. 

And BTW, one other thing I have not seen mentioned anywhere is that NYC has no where near 8.4m people residing in the five boroughs right now; I would say approximately 50% of the people I know who live and work in NYC have not been sheltering in place in NYC for the past 2-5 weeks. That would further reduce the denominator and push up the IFR.