05-08-2020, 03:11 PM
School age children are definitely at risk of this. From the article, ages 2 through 15 were identified. The prevalence does seem low; New York has identified 70 cases.
If we do some back of the envelope math, NYS estimates 20% exposure by serology studies. They have 20 million people, 20% of whom are under age 18. So 4 million minors. Assuming 20% of them have been exposed, you get 800k. So roughly 1 in 10,000 kids may get this severe syndrome if they catch covid.
If we do some back of the envelope math, NYS estimates 20% exposure by serology studies. They have 20 million people, 20% of whom are under age 18. So 4 million minors. Assuming 20% of them have been exposed, you get 800k. So roughly 1 in 10,000 kids may get this severe syndrome if they catch covid.