[Genuine Realist]

Put together by the Cleveland clinic

https://riskcalc.org/COVID19Hospitalization/

I'll just paste the disclaimer:

No Medical Advice. ALTHOUGH SOME CONTENT MAY BE PROVIDED BY INDIVIDUALS IN THE MEDICAL PROFESSION, YOU ACKNOWLEDGE THAT PROVISION OF SUCH CONTENT DOES NOT CREATE A MEDICAL PROFESSIONAL-PATIENT RELATIONSHIP AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OPINION, MEDICAL ADVICE, PROFESSIONAL DIAGNOSIS, SERVICE OR TREATMENT OF ANY CONDITION. Access to general information is provided for educational purposes only, through this site and links to other sites. Content is not recommended or endorsed by any doctor or healthcare provider. The information and Content provided are not substitutes for medical or professional care, and you should not use the information in place of a visit, call, consultation or the advice of your physician or other healthcare provider. You are liable or responsible for any advice, course of treatment, diagnosis or any other information, services or product obtained through this site.

For what it is worth, I ran the calculator with a 20-year old non-Hispanic Black male with no co-morbidities, a BMI of 27 (which is probably less predictive in an athlete, but would be the equivalent of a 6 foot, 200 lb linebacker), who had fever and shortness of breath and got a hospitalization prediction of 3.1%.  With just fever it is 1.2%, and currently asymptomatic but with a history of asthma it is 1.5%.  These are low probabilities in all, but on a team full of football players, if everyone got it, there is a decent chance one or two would be hospitalized.  

BC

Well, I'm 74 last Saturday, BC. I'm going to be hospitalized for SOMETHING sooner or later. It might be the virus or it might be something worse.

I do believe - seriously - that a lot of Americans assume they're going to live forever, and in perfect health. (Obviously, say that out loud and it's ridiculous - but we have become awfully good lately at not saying unpleasant things out loud, or even thinking them.) It's a RIGHT, Gawd damn it - right there in the Constitution.

[Genuine Realist]

Put together by the Cleveland clinic

https://riskcalc.org/COVID19Hospitalization/

I'll just paste the disclaimer:

No Medical Advice. ALTHOUGH SOME CONTENT MAY BE PROVIDED BY INDIVIDUALS IN THE MEDICAL PROFESSION, YOU ACKNOWLEDGE THAT PROVISION OF SUCH CONTENT DOES NOT CREATE A MEDICAL PROFESSIONAL-PATIENT RELATIONSHIP AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OPINION, MEDICAL ADVICE, PROFESSIONAL DIAGNOSIS, SERVICE OR TREATMENT OF ANY CONDITION. Access to general information is provided for educational purposes only, through this site and links to other sites. Content is not recommended or endorsed by any doctor or healthcare provider. The information and Content provided are not substitutes for medical or professional care, and you should not use the information in place of a visit, call, consultation or the advice of your physician or other healthcare provider. You are liable or responsible for any advice, course of treatment, diagnosis or any other information, services or product obtained through this site.

For what it is worth, I ran the calculator with a 20-year old non-Hispanic Black male with no co-morbidities, a BMI of 27 (which is probably less predictive in an athlete, but would be the equivalent of a 6 foot, 200 lb linebacker), who had fever and shortness of breath and got a hospitalization prediction of 3.1%.  With just fever it is 1.2%, and currently asymptomatic but with a history of asthma it is 1.5%.  These are low probabilities in all, but on a team full of football players, if everyone got it, there is a decent chance one or two would be hospitalized.  

BC

Well, I'm 74 last Saturday, BC. I'm going to be hospitalized for SOMETHING sooner or later. It might be the virus or it might be something worse.

I do believe - seriously - that a lot of Americans assume they're going to live forever, and in perfect health. (Obviously, say that out loud and it's ridiculous - but we have become awfully good lately at not saying unpleasant things out loud, or even thinking them.) It's a RIGHT, Gawd damn it - right there in the Constitution.