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Edit: Updated to reflect dropping 48 pts for M SW rather than 50 pts.
Edit: Updated to add Michigan spring scoring.
Edit: Added Texas
I will assume Stanford doesn't get any net points out of T&F. All our remaining points come from baseball.
As I understand it, if Stanford baseball loses today in the regional, they get 50 points. If they win, they get at least 64 points.
A baseball win today should just about clinch the Director's Cup.
If Stanford only gets 50 points from baseball, that's a total of 1137.75 1139.75, ahead of NC by 20 points. NC would have to get 26+20 points out of one team in Outdoor T&F. (For instance, assuming Stanford only gets 50 pts from baseball, if NC get 46 points in MT&F and <46 pts in WTF, then we tie. If NC get more than 46 in either, they beat Stanford. ) In 2019, NC got 56 points for 17th in W T&F. NC is ranked 45th in W T&F and 51st in M T&F. 30th place is worth about 43 points.
Florida needs 118.25 points in MTF & WTF beyond what Stanford gets in baseball. If Stanford only gets 50 points in baseball, then FL needs 168.25. That requires them to finish better than they are ranked (14th in M T&F (~ 60 points), 9th in W T&F (~ 69 points). In 2019 they were higher ranked than this year, finishing 2nd and 6th for a total of 163.5.
Michigan should not yet be dismissed. Before M&W T&F, they are just 107.25 behind Stanford's minimum score. They are currently ranked 20th in Men's T&F (~ 54 points) and 41 in Women's T&F (~ 30 points), or roughly 30 points behind. They'd have to finish higher than ranked
Note that UNC's lowest droppable points are as bnarvar said (26 pts in M SW). They also have 25 points in M BB & W BB, but those won't be dropped.
Edit: Updated to reflect dropping 48 pts for M SW rather than 50 pts.
Edit: Updated to add Michigan spring scoring.
Edit: Added Texas
I will assume Stanford doesn't get any net points out of T&F. All our remaining points come from baseball.
As I understand it, if Stanford baseball loses today in the regional, they get 50 points. If they win, they get at least 64 points.
A baseball win today should just about clinch the Director's Cup.
If Stanford only gets 50 points from baseball, that's a total of 1137.75 1139.75, ahead of NC by 20 points. NC would have to get 26+20 points out of one team in Outdoor T&F. (For instance, assuming Stanford only gets 50 pts from baseball, if NC get 46 points in MT&F and <46 pts in WTF, then we tie. If NC get more than 46 in either, they beat Stanford. ) In 2019, NC got 56 points for 17th in W T&F. NC is ranked 45th in W T&F and 51st in M T&F. 30th place is worth about 43 points.
Florida needs 118.25 points in MTF & WTF beyond what Stanford gets in baseball. If Stanford only gets 50 points in baseball, then FL needs 168.25. That requires them to finish better than they are ranked (14th in M T&F (~ 60 points), 9th in W T&F (~ 69 points). In 2019 they were higher ranked than this year, finishing 2nd and 6th for a total of 163.5.
Michigan should not yet be dismissed. Before M&W T&F, they are just 107.25 behind Stanford's minimum score. They are currently ranked 20th in Men's T&F (~ 54 points) and 41 in Women's T&F (~ 30 points), or roughly 30 points behind. They'd have to finish higher than ranked
Note that UNC's lowest droppable points are as bnarvar said (26 pts in M SW). They also have 25 points in M BB & W BB, but those won't be dropped.
(06-07-2021, 12:04 AM)bnarver Wrote: Assuming I'm more accurate than my previous posts, here are the numbers I have for Spring and the total accumulated points
Sport Stanford UCLA Florida N.Carolina Ohio St. Michigan Texas
Place Pts Place Pts Place Pts Place Pts Place Pts Place Pts Place Pts
Baseball ? ? 17 50 49 25 33 37.5 ? ?
Beach volleyball 7 25 2 90
Women's golf 5 72.75 15 60 25 47.5 5 72.75
Men's golf 37 34.5 22 52 5 72.75 25 49
Women's lacrosse 17 25 5 70 3 83
Men's lacrosse 3 83
Rowing 2 90 6 72 4 80 1 100
Softball 17 50 5 78 9 64 9 64
(Net minus M SW 2)
Women's tennis 17 50 5 73 17 50 3 83 9 64 5 73 1 100
Men's tennis 17 50 33 25 1 100 9 64 9 64 17 50 3 83
Women's T&F ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Men's T&F ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Men's VB
Women's water polo 3 55 2 90 5 60
Fall + Winter 770 413.75 563 696.5 652.5 769.5 558.25
Total 1087.75 879.75 971.5 1119.75 852.5 1032.5 1027.00
1089.75
Only 19 sports count, so Stanford must drop the points for women's lacrosse, men's golf, and 1 of the 50 pointers (softball, women's tennis, or men's tennis). NACDA's scoring for this year has changed in some of the bracket sports, and my numbers may disagree in the end. UCLA does get 78 points for softball according to their scoring chart for baseball and softball. North Carolina has now reached the 15 optional sports limit, so any additional sports must exceed the 26 points they received for men's swimming. Their next lowest score was 48 points for women's cross country.
Sorry for the alignment of the numbers. They looked good before I posted it.
