06-07-2021, 12:04 PM
(06-07-2021, 11:12 AM)teejers1 Wrote:(06-07-2021, 10:56 AM)Farm93 Wrote:(06-07-2021, 09:27 AM)M T Wrote: I've updated my version of bnarver's table to include Michigan. They are within striking distance (107 points behind Stanford's minimum score). I didn't check for dropped scores, but, ignoring that, if they finish T&F as ranked, they'll be 30 points behind Stanford's minimum score.I still believe 1100+ is beyond Michigan's range.
While I think Stanford is in the driver's seat, esp. if baseball wins today, I wouldn't want to call the order of finish in the Director's Cup between UNC, Michigan, and Florida.
But if any of them outperform expectations in T&F, they could catch Stanford.
Without tallies of Spring sports this is tricky, but historically USC, UCLA and Texas storm up the rankings in May and June. UCLA is too far back, but still worry about the other two. USC is capable of winning lots of OTF points. Texas has that OTF tally potential AND the chance to win baseball. So of all of the teams with frequent top 5 finishes I worry much more about the schools that could put up big OTF points (USC, Texas & Florida). Florida is almost too far back.
Without the re-introduction of a set of core sports and the reduction down to 19 from 20 sports, Stanford would win this 2020-2021 Cup rather easily.
How many people are feeling good about Stanford's chances in baseball this evening?
That melt down last night reminded me of the US Open Women's golf result yesterday. You could see the front-runner leaking oil and the end-result was almost inevitable by 17. Baseball and golf are different - in too many ways to count - of course, but I'm not liking Stanford's "mojo" in baseball right now (or the pitching prospects tonight). At all.
Hope the Cardinal surprise and blow the doors of UCI. (Agree with another poster who speculated that it might well take 10+ runs to win tonight).
"Mojo" is hard to predict. You could be right, but I take heart from the season series against Arizona, when we came back from a 20-2 obliteration to win the next game and the series. Also, we took 3 out of 4 from UCI earlier in the year, and, when you look at the last two games, UCI had a nightmare inning in their loss to us, then we had a nightmare inning in our loss to them... so it seems to me it's their turn again to have the nightmare inning, right?
I'm guessing that mojo will have less to do with it than which pitcher on which team has the game of his life tonight.

