[BostonCard]

Even processes with well known risk factors can be stochastic.  For example, even if you know a player is "injury prone" and out of shape, you wouldn't be able to tell me in advance when a player would get injured (or even if).  At least one study I looked at modeled injuries with a Poisson distribution.

https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/1...-0030/html

Now, of course, "all models are wrong" as George Box has taught us, but Poisson distributions are the ultimate stochastic process.

BC

[BostonCard]

Even processes with well known risk factors can be stochastic.  For example, even if you know a player is "injury prone" and out of shape, you wouldn't be able to tell me in advance when a player would get injured (or even if).  At least one study I looked at modeled injuries with a Poisson distribution.

https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/1...-0030/html

Now, of course, "all models are wrong" as George Box has taught us, but Poisson distributions are the ultimate stochastic process.

BC