(03-31-2022, 11:10 AM)BosCard Wrote: I tend to think of the final four teams as 3 primarily defense oriented teams (SC, Louisville, Stanford) and one offense oriented team (UConn). It will be an interesting contrast of styles but my money is on a defensive team winning. I think that is where the game is evolving to, namely defense and rebounding wins championships (Stanford ‘21, Baylor ‘19, South Carolina ‘17). I think some of the UConn dominating runs had both the best offense and defense. A possible exception to this could have been Oregon in ‘20 if there had been a championship.You may be correct with the eye test.
However, Massey's formula has UConn as the 3rd best defensive team and Stanford as the 4th, with Stanford being the 6th best offensive team and UConn the 9th. South Carolina is the #1 defensive team but only the 17th best offense. Louisville is the 7th best defense and the 13th best offense.
By that accounting Stanford has the best offense at the final four and the third best defense.
UConn has the 2nd best offense and the 2nd best defense.
Both offenses would have a slight edge over both defenses if you believe the Massey computers.