[washingtonismoney]

I bet Duke won't be bowl eligible.  They have a shot, but I'd bet it's no more than about a 30% chance.  They'll be an underdog in most or all of their games for the rest of the season.

Oh, I don't know about that. I'd guess about a 40-45% chance or so. Football Outsiders estimates their mean remaining wins at 5.1, and that seems about right. The key isn't whether or not they'll be underdogs, but how much they'll be underdogs by. There are few near-certain losses on the schedule--FSU, Clemson--and even those are tempered by each team's propensity to take games off.

Other than that, I see a bunch of toss-up-ish type games. So 6 seems totally reasonable to me.

[washingtonismoney]

I bet Duke won't be bowl eligible.  They have a shot, but I'd bet it's no more than about a 30% chance.  They'll be an underdog in most or all of their games for the rest of the season.

Oh, I don't know about that. I'd guess about a 40-45% chance or so. Football Outsiders estimates their mean remaining wins at 5.1, and that seems about right. The key isn't whether or not they'll be underdogs, but how much they'll be underdogs by. There are few near-certain losses on the schedule--FSU, Clemson--and even those are tempered by each team's propensity to take games off.

Other than that, I see a bunch of toss-up-ish type games. So 6 seems totally reasonable to me.