(12-11-2022, 01:08 PM)threepointer Wrote: Misqueri: Who are you and how did you get so good at this. Your writing and analysis is superb.
Thank you! Makes me happy to hear people enjoy the thoughts.
Who I am: son of a Ralston era Rose Bowl backup DB/much better rugby player who has been a diehard all my life and didn't let coming onto campus concurrently with the Teevens years dampen my enthusiasm at all. I used to be the football editor for The Bootleg in the Harbaugh years. The amount of time I spend thinking about/researching Stanford football did not decrease when I stopped accepting paychecks for it, I just shifted my time from things that were laborious (like interviews) to things that spark joy for me (like the rabbit holes you can see in my posts in this thread).
Really appreciate the kind words.
(12-11-2022, 01:28 PM)Farm93 Wrote:(12-11-2022, 01:08 PM)threepointer Wrote: Misqueri: Who are you and how did you get so good at this. Your writing and analysis is superb.If Taylor is as good as these 30 points imply, he will be coaching in the BigTen or SEC in 4 years or less.
Stanford almost needs someone not quite as good as this level of hype.
I am not sure with Muir, but historically too far below 500 would mean getting fired in 3-4 years.
Too far above 500 would mean leaving for a better FBS or an NFL post in 3-4 years.
Ultimately I am just not so sure that 4 and 5 star players (or their parents) from GA, TX, FL or Louisiana will be dazzled by our new west coach guy. Guess we will see.
The inevitable drop in recruiting for the next 2 years will not all be on him as the Pac-12 is far from stable, but I hope his staff has someone that can credibly go into The South and get families to take the 40 year leap of faith.
On how good Taylor is, I think he's an extraordinary FCS coach and has a better than even chance of success, but you never know and there are legitimate questions about how much will translate. I think I'd put him at about a 60 percent chance of what I'd view as successful (at least one but hopefully multiple 8+ win seasons before he leaves). If he does bolt for a better job after succeeding with Stanford, I won't care. I just want to get back to relevance. If he gets us to relevance and then leverages that for himself, we'll be in a better position to build on the success. All of our best coaches before Shaw left us once they succeeded and I'm ok with that.
I don't think big recruits far afield will be dazzled initially, but the whole enterprise becomes more appealing if he starts winning and builds a fun, competitive culture. That's what we have to hope, that he makes us healthy again. A healthy Stanford football program will always be attractive to a lot of people, and then it becomes a matter of developing the recruiting operation/elbow grease to bring home as many of those guys as possible.
Recruiting very well may drop off, in the near term and even more generally. Shaw was empirically the most successful recruiter in Stanford history. But he badly under-performed his recruiting rankings. If we recruited like the #25 team in the country and played like the #75 team in the country under Shaw and then end up recruiting like the #40 team in the country and play like the #25 team in the country under Taylor, Taylor will be a big improvement. (Even if Taylor has us playing like #40 that's a big improvement) I view recruiting as the lifeblood and will be watching it closely, but the fact is the rot in Shaw's program was so bad that talent can decline at Stanford quite a bit without necessarily hurting us on the field because a less rotten coaching staff should be able to get more out of the talent they do have.