10-26-2013, 10:57 PM
(10-26-2013, 10:51 PM)82 Card link Wrote:Had OS kicked FG instead of going for it on 4th a couple times, we would not have won. Thank God for bad play calling.
People keep saying this, but only one of those was in a range where a typical college kicker has a 90%+ chance of making it. Two of them would've been 50-yarders. Granted, the kicker did make one 50-yarder, but an NFL kicker who makes half of 50-yarders is an excellent kicker. Good odds that they would've missed 2 of the 3.
Also, this type of analysis is obviously facile because the game wouldn't have just proceeded the same way had they kicked and made it. Everyone's decision-making changes. So you can't just say "oh they would've had those points." It doesn't work that way.
