(03-18-2014, 08:09 PM)Yvonne link Wrote:Help this tired, mathematically-challenged woman out. Does a single elimination tournament structure make it more likely, less likely, or as likely that a team will be at .500?
I think that depends on your assumptions. If you think that the true odds in the tournament are 50-50, then it should be 64:63, since there are 64 wins but only 63 losses.
(I edited out some stupid math where I came to a different conclusion, in case anyone caught it... I'm tired right now.)