05-23-2014, 04:10 PM
Yeah, you did much closer reading than I did -- some of those other points you notice are really weird too. Goff will have more talented pass-catchers? Really? Because they just lost Rodgers and had Harper and Treggs last year. Hard to imagine pass-catching was what held the 59ers back last year.
Re: "true frosh should never play" -- my main point with that isn't that throwing a true freshman in won't produce a good QB eventually. That's easily refuted by, you know, history. (Hey John Elway and Peyton Manning!) (Or, in recent history: Teddy Bridgewater). But my point with that phrase is simple: the true freshman QB nearly always sucks as a true freshman. Hackenberg is a perfect example: 7.54 YPA isn't awful (Hackenberg was 5th in the Big Ten, which underscores what a poor conference that was last year), but you can't have a YPA that low with a sub 60 completion %age, which is what Hackenberg had. (He also offered nothing with his legs.) So it's no surprise that Hackenberg had a 133 NCAA passer rating, 60th in the country, and 53 adjusted QBR, 77th in the country. (Goff actually finished ahead of Hackenberg in that statistic -- Goff was 73rd.)
So Hackenberg was mediocre, and, as this statistical look shows -- http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/8/...uarterback -- is rather good for a true freshman. That's why proposals to start Keller Chryst are so funny. If the ultimate fate of Robert Griffin III, Teddy Bridgewater, Terrelle Pryor, etc., is to be slightly above average at best, what makes you think Chryst is any different? And why would you want to replace Hogan's well above average production with that? It's crazy.
Re: "true frosh should never play" -- my main point with that isn't that throwing a true freshman in won't produce a good QB eventually. That's easily refuted by, you know, history. (Hey John Elway and Peyton Manning!) (Or, in recent history: Teddy Bridgewater). But my point with that phrase is simple: the true freshman QB nearly always sucks as a true freshman. Hackenberg is a perfect example: 7.54 YPA isn't awful (Hackenberg was 5th in the Big Ten, which underscores what a poor conference that was last year), but you can't have a YPA that low with a sub 60 completion %age, which is what Hackenberg had. (He also offered nothing with his legs.) So it's no surprise that Hackenberg had a 133 NCAA passer rating, 60th in the country, and 53 adjusted QBR, 77th in the country. (Goff actually finished ahead of Hackenberg in that statistic -- Goff was 73rd.)
So Hackenberg was mediocre, and, as this statistical look shows -- http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/8/...uarterback -- is rather good for a true freshman. That's why proposals to start Keller Chryst are so funny. If the ultimate fate of Robert Griffin III, Teddy Bridgewater, Terrelle Pryor, etc., is to be slightly above average at best, what makes you think Chryst is any different? And why would you want to replace Hogan's well above average production with that? It's crazy.