[Rally]

This week we play UCD. CTCard provided an excellent summary of the team:

They went 5-7 last year.
Their one FBS game was a 7-36 loss to Nevada (4-8 last year).
When they did win last year, they won by some big scores (34-7 vs Sac St, 34-18 vs NDak and NColo, 30-13 Id St, and 21-3 So.Utah).
They also tended to lose big. In fact, they only played one 1 score game (L 7-10 SDak) and one 2 score game (L 10-21 NAriz).

Their official outlook says they return 8 starters on offense and 6 on defense.
They return 2 all-Big Sky conference players: newcomer of the year and 3rd team RB Manzanares and third team K Stuart.
They lost their QB Wright, a four year starter. I cannot figure out if they have named a starter or not.

Their coach is Ron Gould, in his second year after being a long time assistant at C_a_l.
Last year they ran about 55% of the time - which is roughly the balance that U$C had.
They averaged 344 yds/gm.
They averaged allowing 388 yds/gm.

All told, they don't seem to be a particularly good FCS team, though they do have a lot of returning starters. Their media guide says The Sports Network preseason ranking has them tied for 41st in FCS

Vegas expects Stanford to win but they won't update the website on the link until Wednesday (typically).

My prediction is that we will score at will using our base offense, we will score twice on special teams, and our base defense will not allow a single score. 55 - 0

Poster	Diff.	Score	Description
==============	====	=====	================================
CompSci87	+56	56-0
PrinceLightfoot	+55	55-0
Simas	+55	55-0
Papa John	+50	63-13	This score cheers up Papa John when sad.
martyup	+49	49-0	We are deep on defense.  I don't see the Aggies scoring a single point, even against our #2s and #3s.  I've got us crossing the line a lucky seven times.
Publius	+49	55-6
StanFan88	+49	55-6
Hank 91	+45	51-6
Big Brother	+42	51-9	Crower to receive some meanigful minutes.
indiancardinal	+42	45-3
Renaissance Man	+40	40-0
Farm93	+35	45-10	A first game will include a mistake or two that will lead to a few scores for UCD.
Robber Baron 83	+35	48-13
Corn Fed	+35	38-3	Big day from Vaughters including a forced fumble that sets up an easy score
hulburt88	+35	38-3	We do not allow a TD!
CochinoJanks	+35	42-7	The ones play a half.  The twos and threes play a quarter each.
SUBudda	+34	47-13	The line will give up some pressure early and our second stringers will give up at least one TD.
GoodGrief	+33	40-7	Barry J Sanders runs for 145 yards.
pcgoode	+32	52-20	Big lead early enough in the game so that second and third team guys on D get some reps and make some mistakes, leading to a few scores by The school that shall not be mentioned.  First team OLine plays into fourth quarter to get some time to gel.
el mono	+32	42-10	Even with vanilla schemes our offense puts up a fair amount of points.  D looks goods and 3-4th stringers give up a late TD in the 4th.
IdCard83	+31	38-7
2 for 2028	+31	41-10
shinsengumi	+31	41-10
ferrari	+28	31-3	We play very vanilla, trying out running backs and tight ends, but otherwise power.  No need to provide any more scouting tape than necessary.
CrazedZooChimp	+28	38-10	The game plan is pretty plain and boring on offense, and there is much partying in the backfield on defense.
CTCard	+28	38-10	Stanford wins by essentially whatever they want.
fullmetal	+28	34-6
washingtonismoney	+27	43-16
81alum	+24	34-10	Stanford is not built to run up the score. Their strength is the running game which will be neutralized.
leftcoast	+24	37-13	Shaw runs power left, power right and power on any down or distance. Davi.s is worn down in the second half.
Trevmiesterj	+23	33-10
garvin	+21	31-10
socalstanfan1	+21	31-10
burger	+21	34-13
Boston Card	+21	31-10
Farmboy	+18	28-10
Stymie	+18	31-13
==============	====	=====
Board average score	+34	42-8

Love it!  Let the game begin!  Is it Saturday yet?

[Rally]

This week we play UCD. CTCard provided an excellent summary of the team:

They went 5-7 last year.
Their one FBS game was a 7-36 loss to Nevada (4-8 last year).
When they did win last year, they won by some big scores (34-7 vs Sac St, 34-18 vs NDak and NColo, 30-13 Id St, and 21-3 So.Utah).
They also tended to lose big. In fact, they only played one 1 score game (L 7-10 SDak) and one 2 score game (L 10-21 NAriz).

Their official outlook says they return 8 starters on offense and 6 on defense.
They return 2 all-Big Sky conference players: newcomer of the year and 3rd team RB Manzanares and third team K Stuart.
They lost their QB Wright, a four year starter. I cannot figure out if they have named a starter or not.

Their coach is Ron Gould, in his second year after being a long time assistant at C_a_l.
Last year they ran about 55% of the time - which is roughly the balance that U$C had.
They averaged 344 yds/gm.
They averaged allowing 388 yds/gm.

All told, they don't seem to be a particularly good FCS team, though they do have a lot of returning starters. Their media guide says The Sports Network preseason ranking has them tied for 41st in FCS

Vegas expects Stanford to win but they won't update the website on the link until Wednesday (typically).

My prediction is that we will score at will using our base offense, we will score twice on special teams, and our base defense will not allow a single score. 55 - 0

Poster	Diff.	Score	Description
==============	====	=====	================================
CompSci87	+56	56-0
PrinceLightfoot	+55	55-0
Simas	+55	55-0
Papa John	+50	63-13	This score cheers up Papa John when sad.
martyup	+49	49-0	We are deep on defense.  I don't see the Aggies scoring a single point, even against our #2s and #3s.  I've got us crossing the line a lucky seven times.
Publius	+49	55-6
StanFan88	+49	55-6
Hank 91	+45	51-6
Big Brother	+42	51-9	Crower to receive some meanigful minutes.
indiancardinal	+42	45-3
Renaissance Man	+40	40-0
Farm93	+35	45-10	A first game will include a mistake or two that will lead to a few scores for UCD.
Robber Baron 83	+35	48-13
Corn Fed	+35	38-3	Big day from Vaughters including a forced fumble that sets up an easy score
hulburt88	+35	38-3	We do not allow a TD!
CochinoJanks	+35	42-7	The ones play a half.  The twos and threes play a quarter each.
SUBudda	+34	47-13	The line will give up some pressure early and our second stringers will give up at least one TD.
GoodGrief	+33	40-7	Barry J Sanders runs for 145 yards.
pcgoode	+32	52-20	Big lead early enough in the game so that second and third team guys on D get some reps and make some mistakes, leading to a few scores by The school that shall not be mentioned.  First team OLine plays into fourth quarter to get some time to gel.
el mono	+32	42-10	Even with vanilla schemes our offense puts up a fair amount of points.  D looks goods and 3-4th stringers give up a late TD in the 4th.
IdCard83	+31	38-7
2 for 2028	+31	41-10
shinsengumi	+31	41-10
ferrari	+28	31-3	We play very vanilla, trying out running backs and tight ends, but otherwise power.  No need to provide any more scouting tape than necessary.
CrazedZooChimp	+28	38-10	The game plan is pretty plain and boring on offense, and there is much partying in the backfield on defense.
CTCard	+28	38-10	Stanford wins by essentially whatever they want.
fullmetal	+28	34-6
washingtonismoney	+27	43-16
81alum	+24	34-10	Stanford is not built to run up the score. Their strength is the running game which will be neutralized.
leftcoast	+24	37-13	Shaw runs power left, power right and power on any down or distance. Davi.s is worn down in the second half.
Trevmiesterj	+23	33-10
garvin	+21	31-10
socalstanfan1	+21	31-10
burger	+21	34-13
Boston Card	+21	31-10
Farmboy	+18	28-10
Stymie	+18	31-13
==============	====	=====
Board average score	+34	42-8

Love it!  Let the game begin!  Is it Saturday yet?