(11-24-2015, 11:27 AM)stupac2 link Wrote:[quote author=NDIrish link=topic=13731.msg143480#msg143480 date=1448388445]Going undefeated is obviously not realistic, but just looking at the games he is losing, if you are comfortable with that, great then you are lucky to have a coach you believe in for the future. I hope for this selfish reasons that stanford maintains being a great team so that ND's sos stays higher, the problem is, we just gotta beat you for that mean anything, lol
Well it's not that I'm comfortable with it, it's that I don't see the other options. Take this year. Lots of good teams don't exactly know what they're doing the first few weeks of the season, and when you schedule aggressively early out-of-conference losses can happen. It happened to OSU last year and they were a pretty good team. And losing to this Oregon team is really nothing to be ashamed of, especially when you're as unlucky as we were in that game (look at Alabama losing to Ole Miss, they should've won that game by 3 scores but kept coughing up the ball).
I think I'm also more in tune with the fact that football is probabilistic than most people, so that colors my perceptions of things. Any team can win any game depending on what happens, and sometimes those factors align for you (Under Stanford Control in 2007, most of our wins in 2012), sometimes they don't (Oregon this year). It sucks but firing a coach because he got unlucky is stupid.
Finally, because Stanford has a small pool of recruits to choose from, there are going to be years where one position is particularly thin and that could hurt. Some better luck with recruiting and developing and keeping defensive linemen healthy and we could be undefeated this year. But there's not much Shaw can do about that.
(11-24-2015, 11:03 AM)NDIrish link Wrote:is that accurate concerning their SOS? not trying to be rude, just seriously asking if that is something you track or are you assuming? I agree recruiting is difficult given academic standards, but to touch on my previous point, is he getting better or worse the farther he gets away from harbaugh? Do you honestly see him maintaining that for 10 years, are the recruits you are getting in just as highly rated as what he had when he took over, if the answer is yes, then obviously shout to keep him, if not, then i would be unsure.
Stanford is routinely among the top teams in the country in SOS. This is because:
1) The Pac-12 is pretty good, and we play 9 conference games, with guaranteed games against the LA schools.
2) We play ND every year.
3) We tend to play other pretty good teams OOC (no FCS, other P5 schools, etc).
So that alone typically puts is in the top quarter or so, although for some reason right now FEI and S&P+ don't like us very much, maybe because we've yet to play ND (we're in the 40's or 50's). Sagarin has us #24. FPI only gives remaining SOS, which actually is kind of baffling. ND's remaining SOS is #2, but ours is #22, despite ND being ranked ahead of us. How the hell is that? Super weird.
I don't really feel like looking through past years' data, but when I have looked before we're typically top-30, and sometimes top-10.
[/quote]
Comfortable was a poor choice of words, sorry. working on three things here and this is unfortunately the least important, lol.Â
i agree with your assessment of coaches, i think letting go of miles (despite the fact i dont like him) would be a brobdingnagian mistake of LSU. Injuries, bad refs, or an unlucky bounce and your fired, plus factor in the fact your are dealing largely with kids going through a lot of personal stuff. Going 75% or higher is a great accomplishment.Â