05-09-2018, 11:34 AM
(05-09-2018, 10:00 AM)Hulk01 Wrote: A suggestion on early tracking of this event:
First, the first three holes on each nine at Harding Park have been benign. So some teams will get under par and appear to be hot. One of those teams might be; the rest ar merely taking advantage of what they've been given.
Second, unless unless the tournament organizers move the front side tees up and the back side tees back to try to equalize the two nines, he teams that start on the much easier front side will make significant moves on teams that start on the back, once those backside teams hit the fangs of the course--13, 14, and 15, and 18 is tough, too. It's not quite two different courses, but it comes as close as any course I've ever heard of.
With that said, the #9 South Carolina team is making a great run on the back, and in the teeth of it. They could be the story of the day if they stay near their current pace.
Finally, this is a classic old course. It doesn't kill you with killer holes that are easy to double or triple bogey. So a team isn't going to come back to field suddenly, with a succession of of immense proportions scores. The movement will tend to be slow.
Thanks for the insight, Hulk!
To follow up on what Hulk said, a team that fails to shoot particularly well on the front 9 probably isn't terribly likely to suddenly turn it on for the back 9 (though, hey, it's golf, weird stuff happens). Right now, several teams within a couple strokes of the likely cut line didn't take advantage of that front 9. In the early going, Oklahoma State and Oregon have both dropped a few strokes on the front 9, while Louisville and North Carolina, both very much in the mix for a top 6 finish, couldn't manage to complete the front 9 in under par. Those teams' failure to create the separation Hulk was talking about means South Carolina is indeed primed to make a run at a top 6 spot with just the front 9 to play. San Diego State, too, for that matter. Of the teams realistically fighting for that last spot, only South Carolina and SDSU started on the back 9. Both are currently +8 for the tournament, and Oregon and Louisville are currently tied for 6th at +4.
That said, of the teams that started on the front 9, no one took advantage like Colorado did, going -8 as a team there this morning. They gave a stroke back on the 10th so far, but they've put themselves in a nice position heading into the back 9 after a dreadful round (+10) yesterday.
For our part, Stanford has started off the front 9 nicely (-5 so far), and at -7 for the tournament, we currently have a 4-shot lead over Ole Miss (-3) and a 6-shot lead over UCLA, Kent State, and Colorado (tied at -1). It's early, to be sure, but Lee and Liu are both -2 today so far, Valenzuela is -1, Aubert is at even par, and Wang is at +1 (she just birdied the 4th hole after taking a double bogey on the 1st hole). For the tournament, Lee is currently tied for the individual lead with Colorado's Fan at -6.
