01-01-2019, 09:46 PM
(01-01-2019, 05:14 PM)Mick Wrote: I'm not so sure about KJ. QB Rating-wise, he's regressed from last year to this. He's thrown 11 interceptions, tied for the most in the NCAA's top 38 quarterbacks. He was better at rushing, scoring and scrambling last year, and has proven to be a slow scrambler. Here's from the Draft Network:
Quote:A sub/spot starter last season who lacks experience and polish. Unsettled in his pass drops; skittish and not ready to throw at all times. Has a poor pocket presence and will adjust to the slightest flash of color, often moving into more pressure–bad sense of space and bodies within the pocket. Will stare down his first read especially when it’s a short/quick throw, which will tip off aggressive DBs making flat-footed reads. Generally underthrows his receivers down the field and must get a better sense for protecting the football via leverage–this will hopefully grow as his harmony with his pass-catchers does.
Urgency and lack of poise in pass sets will lead to unacceptably high degrees of variance in his release point (see over-the-top and sidearm) and herky-jerky weight transfer through his release process; release will become elongated because his feet are out of time with his hands. Accordingly, accuracy can get hog-wild, because the process isn’t normalized. Will allow pressure to greatly truncate his release process and thereby drastically impact his accuracy, putting the ball in dangerous locations. Did become more calm in the pocket throughout the season/starts, so there is an existing developmental track. Is a project player.
That analysis of Costello is dated August 5. 2018. It has nothing to do with his 2018 performance.
It's not really true that he's regressed QB rating-wise.
In 2018 he had a PER of 155.0 (top in Pac 12) while shouldering the bulk of the offense and throwing for 272 yds/gm.
In 2017 he had a PER of 139.5 while complementing Love's running throwing for 172 yds/gm (games he was main QB).
It appears you may be referring to ESPN's QBR. He did drop from 88.1 (not enough snaps to list in national rankings) to 80.1 (#11 in the country).
To the extent that change has any significant meaning, it would seem to be due to the fact that Costello was more of a runner in 2017. He wasn't much more of a runner, but at least had net positive running yards (i.e. running yds greater than sack yards). This year the "read option" didn't really have any read in it except for rare occasions.
That said, there are some issues Costello has that would affect his draft status. It seems to me you are probably right about being a later round draft pick at this point.


