09-11-2022, 12:24 PM
1. It was nice to be back on campus and spend time with friends, though it's hard to be too happy about losing handily to USC. Through two weeks the team is looking like what most expected - an interesting and entertaining offense, a very bad defense, and a challenging task ahead to try to get back to a bowl. Shaw's post-game press conference went about as expected but had a bit of an edge to it. I think he knows the rest of this season could still go in various directions and some of his defensive guards are starting to come up in anticipation of circling sharks. He knows the team that's played the last two weeks will have challenges and probably feels some measure of optimism that turnovers will revert to the mean in a good direction, but is clear-eyed the defense will be bad enough that there's not much margin for error for the offense and special teams.
2. The level of error when it comes to ball security is appalling. These turnovers don't strike me as bad luck but rather a running back who can't protect the ball (coughing it up about once every ten touches right?) and a quarterback who's made a couple errant throws a game (usually an overthrow, though that wasn't the problem on the interception in the end zone) that make it anybody's ball. It amounts to two of our best players having a Jekyll and Hyde aspect to their play. Smith ran and caught the ball very effectively, but turning the ball over as often as he has the last two games really neutralizes the good he's done. Can't be a good player unless this gets cleaned up. For McKee, the skills he brings have been evident in both games but his Total QBR is only 43rd in the country. That so many of our turnovers have been in the red zone and given the opponent very short fields (or even a special teams touchdown) is a back breaker. Have to take care of the ball. Turnovers were the biggest reason we lost but we shouldn't flatter ourselves in thinking we were on USC's level otherwise. A 2.5 yard differential per play is big. USC was the better team, decidedly.
3. Aside from turnovers and being outgunned by USC's firepower, the story of this game was the unveiling of a new Stanford identity. As McKee said, we threw everything at USC. More to the point, it was completely different than the Shawfense of the last decade. This new slow mesh RPO offensive identity is very intriguing. McKee, the offensive line, and Smith (aside from ball security) seemed comfortable with it. To the extent Shaw talked all off-season about suiting schemes to personnel, cutting down concepts in the offense, and focusing on what we're good at, I think we should expect this to be an identity that's here to stay. We didn't secretly develop a whole new offense just to make it a one week game plan against USC. This is our offense. That means the Colgate game was subterfuge and we ran an offense different than our real offense, making that game more akin to a spring game than any real data point about the offense. With USC being the first game for our new offense, it will be interesting to see if we can grow into even more effectiveness with it.
4. The biggest thing that jumps out statistically about the new offense is the number of rushing yards - 221 yards is our most since October 2018. While a good chunk came on the inspired play call to Yurosek, we saw real evidence of the Smith-Filkins one-two punch, and I especially liked seeing how many first downs the two of them racked up. This week's moving the chains (first down) list: Smith (10), Filkins (8), Higgins (4, plus drew a pass interference), Yurosek (4), Wilson (2), McKee (2), Tremayne (plus three pass interferences he drew!), Humphreys (plus drew a pass interference). Nonetheless, I wouldn't crown the run game or be particularly confident in it going forward just yet. I have doubts about USC's quality as a run defense. Also, these yards were largely a product of the eye-popping number of plays we ran (80).
5. 80 plays! Tempo! That's the second most regulation plays ever under Shaw (two plays fewer than against Oregon in 2015). This was a totally different offense than Stanford usually runs. As somebody who has called for tempo, creativity, less stubbornness, and matching scheme to personnel, this was very welcome. While fans can continue to point to the lack of coaching turnover as a lack of accountability, it now appears that the talk of reassessing and reimagining what we do was not empty talk. On both sides of the ball, we seem to have fundamentally overhauled the way we operate. But as of now it appears that we can no longer say Shaw is stuck in his ways and impervious to evidence his ways fail. An 80 play slow mesh RPO offense is a big change. It remains to be seen how committed we will be to the changes and, of course, how effective they will be.
2. The level of error when it comes to ball security is appalling. These turnovers don't strike me as bad luck but rather a running back who can't protect the ball (coughing it up about once every ten touches right?) and a quarterback who's made a couple errant throws a game (usually an overthrow, though that wasn't the problem on the interception in the end zone) that make it anybody's ball. It amounts to two of our best players having a Jekyll and Hyde aspect to their play. Smith ran and caught the ball very effectively, but turning the ball over as often as he has the last two games really neutralizes the good he's done. Can't be a good player unless this gets cleaned up. For McKee, the skills he brings have been evident in both games but his Total QBR is only 43rd in the country. That so many of our turnovers have been in the red zone and given the opponent very short fields (or even a special teams touchdown) is a back breaker. Have to take care of the ball. Turnovers were the biggest reason we lost but we shouldn't flatter ourselves in thinking we were on USC's level otherwise. A 2.5 yard differential per play is big. USC was the better team, decidedly.
3. Aside from turnovers and being outgunned by USC's firepower, the story of this game was the unveiling of a new Stanford identity. As McKee said, we threw everything at USC. More to the point, it was completely different than the Shawfense of the last decade. This new slow mesh RPO offensive identity is very intriguing. McKee, the offensive line, and Smith (aside from ball security) seemed comfortable with it. To the extent Shaw talked all off-season about suiting schemes to personnel, cutting down concepts in the offense, and focusing on what we're good at, I think we should expect this to be an identity that's here to stay. We didn't secretly develop a whole new offense just to make it a one week game plan against USC. This is our offense. That means the Colgate game was subterfuge and we ran an offense different than our real offense, making that game more akin to a spring game than any real data point about the offense. With USC being the first game for our new offense, it will be interesting to see if we can grow into even more effectiveness with it.
4. The biggest thing that jumps out statistically about the new offense is the number of rushing yards - 221 yards is our most since October 2018. While a good chunk came on the inspired play call to Yurosek, we saw real evidence of the Smith-Filkins one-two punch, and I especially liked seeing how many first downs the two of them racked up. This week's moving the chains (first down) list: Smith (10), Filkins (8), Higgins (4, plus drew a pass interference), Yurosek (4), Wilson (2), McKee (2), Tremayne (plus three pass interferences he drew!), Humphreys (plus drew a pass interference). Nonetheless, I wouldn't crown the run game or be particularly confident in it going forward just yet. I have doubts about USC's quality as a run defense. Also, these yards were largely a product of the eye-popping number of plays we ran (80).
5. 80 plays! Tempo! That's the second most regulation plays ever under Shaw (two plays fewer than against Oregon in 2015). This was a totally different offense than Stanford usually runs. As somebody who has called for tempo, creativity, less stubbornness, and matching scheme to personnel, this was very welcome. While fans can continue to point to the lack of coaching turnover as a lack of accountability, it now appears that the talk of reassessing and reimagining what we do was not empty talk. On both sides of the ball, we seem to have fundamentally overhauled the way we operate. But as of now it appears that we can no longer say Shaw is stuck in his ways and impervious to evidence his ways fail. An 80 play slow mesh RPO offense is a big change. It remains to be seen how committed we will be to the changes and, of course, how effective they will be.


